Match Info

AHL

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Pechanga Arena (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	San Diego Gulls		Calgary Wranglers

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.2	2.75	Watch
	2.05	4	2.9
	2.01	4.05	3.08
	1.98	4.11	3.11	Watch
	1.95	4.2	3
	1.97	4.15	2.94	Watch
	2.14	3.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)	4.09 ↑ (3.8)	2.94 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Gulls
46%

Draw
22.6%

Calgary Wranglers
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

24%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

25%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Gulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Calgary Wranglers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Gulls than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

San Diego Gulls - Calgary Wranglers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Clang C. (G)	35. Sergeev A. (G)
12. Bailey J.	19. Bishop C. (C)
15. Brouillard N.	41. Cicek N. (A)
25. Burke C.	20. Gallant A.
22. Carpenter R. (C)	3. Grushnikov A.
28. Caulfield J.	15. Hunt D. (A)
29. Colangelo S.	44. King C.
17. Gaucher N.	23. Kirkland J.
5. Hinds T.	26. Miromanov D.
6. Luneau T.	21. Morin E.
37. McKeown R. (A)	45. Morton S.
21. Myatovic N.	28. Othmann B.
11. Mysak J.	2. Ottenbreit T.
13. Nesterenko N.	4. Pauls C.
16. Pastujov S.	25. Silye D.
18. Phillips M. (A)	11. Stromgren W.
19. Sidorov Y.	36. Suniev A.
7. Solberg S.	8. White G.
2. Warren N.	16. Wilkie C.
Substitutes
30. Suchanek T. (G)	50. Prosvetov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
09:57, 1 - 0, Gaucher N. (G), Hinds T. (A), Luneau T. (A2)
10:58, 2 - 0, Carpenter R. (G), Pastujov S. (A), Bailey J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
02:04, 3 - 0, Gaucher N. (G), Pastujov S. (A), Luneau T. (A2)
10:37, 4 - 0, Burke C. (G), Solberg S. (A), McKeown R. (A2)
14:41, 4 - 1, King C. (G), Hunt D. (A), Gallant A. (A2)
15:10, 4 - 2, Bishop C. (G), Silye D. (A), Cicek N. (A2)
16:04, 4 - 3, Hunt D. (G), Suniev A. (A), Miromanov D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
19:14, 5 - 3, Gaucher N. (G), Nesterenko N. (A), Brouillard N. (A2)
19:59, 5 - 4, Morton S. (G),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 3.

In recent matches, San Diego has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Calgary has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Diego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.

San Diego will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 2.04.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 62:79. (average 3.1:4).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:37. (average 3.1:4.1).

Last Results with these Odds

San Diego Gulls - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.16%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Calgary Wranglers - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 32.88%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Gulls
AHL
20.03.26	San Diego Gulls - Bakersfield Condors	7:4 ✺
18.03.26	Colorado Eagles - San Diego Gulls	5:1 ✺
17.03.26	Colorado Eagles - San Diego Gulls	5:6 penalties ✺
14.03.26	San Diego Gulls - Colorado Eagles	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	San Diego Gulls - Colorado Eagles	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWL
- Calgary Wranglers
AHL
21.03.26	Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	3:8 ✺
17.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	5:6 ✺
15.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose	2:4 ✺
13.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
21.12.25	Calgary Wranglers - San Diego Gulls	2:1
19.12.25	Calgary Wranglers - San Diego Gulls	3:4 OT
22.11.25	San Diego Gulls - Calgary Wranglers	2:3
29.03.25	San Diego Gulls - Calgary Wranglers	3:1
26.02.25	San Diego Gulls - Calgary Wranglers	4:0
26.01.25	Calgary Wranglers - San Diego Gulls	4:5 OT
25.01.25	Calgary Wranglers - San Diego Gulls	7:5

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