Match Info

WORLD: WCH IA

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sparkasse Arena (Bolzano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1


	Italy		Japan

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.75	5	Watch
	1.5	4.6	5
	1.58	4.5	4.45
	1.58	4.65	5.05
	1.5	4.2	4.75
	1.54	4.65	4.75
	1.42	4.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	4.61 ↑ (4.51)	4.91 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
60.9%

Draw
20.2%

Japan
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

20.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Italy - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: Italy will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Clara D. (G) Brynas	1. Narisawa Y. (G) Red Eagles Hokkaido
53. Trivellato A. Schwenninger	6. Yamada K. Red Eagles Hokkaido
17. Seed J. Cortina	8. Ishida R. Tohoku Free Blades
93. Frigo L. Bolzano	16. Hitosato S. GKS Katowice
9. Mantenuto D. Bolzano	19. Nakajima S. (C) Red Eagles Hokkaido
29. De Luca T. Ambri-Piotta	11. Otsu K. East Hokkaido Cranes
Line 2
10. Spornberger P. Schwenninger	5. Halliday J. (A) Red Eagles Hokkaido
27. Larkin T. (C) Schwenninger	9. Takagi K. Red Eagles Hokkaido
63. Salinitri A. Stavanger	18. Furuhashi M. Nikko Ice Bucks
7. Catenacci D. Val Pusteria	14. Osawa Y. Yokohama Grits
90. Gazley D. Bolzano	2. Hayata S. Nikko Ice Bucks
Line 3
5. Amorosa T. Ritten	12. Sato H. (A) Nikko Ice Bucks
37. Pietroniro P. Dukla Trencin	4. Yoneyama K. East Hokkaido Cranes
94. Frank D. (A) Bolzano	24. Sato Y. Nizhny Novgorod
22. Kostner D. (A) Ambri-Piotta	22. Nakajima T.
68. Marchetti M. Asiago	17. Hanzawa C. Sacred Heart Pioneers University
Line 4
21. Glira D. Val Pusteria	20. Otsu Y. East Hokkaido Cranes
88. Insam M. Ritten	27. Lawlor K. Tohoku Free Blades
91. Mantinger M. Val Pusteria	25. Isogai S. Nikko Ice Bucks
95. Purdeller T. Peterborough Petes	15. Irikura T. Red Eagles Hokkaido
46. Deluca I. Val Pusteria	28. Sato K. Belfast
Substitutes
1. Bernard A. (G) Val Pusteria	29. Fukufuji Y. (G) Nikko Ice Bucks
Coaches
. Pelino M.	. Skalde J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
03:59, 1 - 0, Gazley D. (G), Catenacci D. (A), Salinitri A. (A2)
09:48, 2 - 0, Kostner D. (G), De Luca T. (A), Gazley D. (A2)
11:19, 2 - 1, Sato Y. (G), Nakajima T. (A), Hanzawa C. (A2)
14:38, 2 - 2, Sato K. (G), Irikura T. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Italy won 2.

Recent matches Italy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Italy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Italy is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Italy to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Italy won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
28.04.24	Romania - Italy	1:6 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
24.04.24	Italy - South Korea	4:3 OT ✺
23.04.24	Italy - Hungary	5:6 ✺
14.04.24	France - Italy	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	France - Italy	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWL
- Japan hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
28.04.24	Japan - Hungary	1:3 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
25.04.24	South Korea - Japan	3:1 ✺
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
10.02.24	Japan - Hungary	2:1 ✺
09.02.24	Spain - Japan	3:6 ✺
08.02.24	Lithuania - Japan	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ice Hockey International Tournament Poland
10.11.19	Italy - Japan	1:4
Ice Hockey International Tournament Hungary
10.11.17	Japan - Italy	2:1
IIHF World Championship IA
27.04.16	Japan - Italy	1:3
Friendly International Ice Hockey
06.11.15	Italy - Japan	N/A
Ice Hockey International Tournament Latvia
06.11.15	Italy - Japan	3:0
IIHF World Championship IA
23.04.15	Japan - Italy	3:2
15.04.13	Italy - Japan	4:1

Italy - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide