Match Info

WORLD: WCH IA

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sparkasse Arena (Bolzano) 🌤️ ...


	Italy		South Korea

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	7	Watch
	1.36	5.5	6.25
	1.36	5.4	6.4
	1.32	6.03	7.67
	1.33	4.8	6
	1.31	5.85	7.11
	1.33	5.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	5.5 ↓ (5.65)	6.72 ↑ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
69.4%

Draw
16.8%

South Korea
13.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.8%

16.3%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

14.9%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

South Korea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Korea than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Italy - South Korea Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Clara D. (G) Brynas	31. Ha Jung-Ho (G)
17. Seed J. Cortina	6. Oh In-Gyo
53. Trivellato A. (A) Schwenninger	61. Lee Don-Ku HL Anyang
68. Marchetti M. Asiago	92. Kang Yoon-Seok HL Anyang
22. Kostner D. Ambri-Piotta	19. Kim Sang-Wook (C) HL Anyang
94. Frank D. Bolzano	77. Lee Chong-Min (A) HL Anyang
Line 2
27. Larkin T. (C) Schwenninger	5. Lee Seung-Jae
10. Spornberger P. Schwenninger	58. Nam Hee-Doo HL Anyang
29. De Luca T. Ambri-Piotta	17. Shin Sang-Hoon (A) HL Anyang
9. Mantenuto D. Bolzano	13. Lee Young-Jun HL Anyang
93. Frigo L. (A) Bolzano	27. Ahn Jin-Hui HL Anyang
Line 3
37. Pietroniro P. Dukla Trencin	18. Kong Chan-Yu
21. Glira D. Val Pusteria	24. Ji Hyo-Seok HL Anyang
90. Gazley D. Bolzano	72. Kim Geon-Woo HL Anyang
7. Catenacci D. Val Pusteria	36. Jeon Jung-Woo HL Anyang
63. Salinitri A. Stavanger	8. Bae Sang-Ho
Line 4
88. Insam M. Ritten	23. Lee Min-Jae HL Anyang
5. Amorosa T. Ritten	11. Lee Ju-Hyung HL Anyang
46. Deluca I. Val Pusteria	28. Kim Si-Hwan
95. Purdeller T. Peterborough Petes	16. Kim Sang-Yeob
91. Mantinger M. Val Pusteria
Substitutes
1. Bernard A. (G) Val Pusteria	32. Lee Yeon-Seung (G) HL Anyang
	63. Park Jin-Kyu HL Anyang

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (4 - 0)
00:21, 1 - 0, Frigo L. (G), Frank D. (A), Trivellato A. (A2)
06:27, 2 - 0, Mantenuto D. (G), Frank D. (A), Frigo L. (A2)
13:21, 3 - 0, Kostner D. (G), Marchetti M. (A), Pietroniro P. (A2)
19:51, 4 - 0, Frank D. (G), Mantenuto D. (A), Larkin T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:10, 4 - 1, Shin Sang-Hoon (G), Nam Hee-Doo (A), Ahn Jin-Hui (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
01:10, 5 - 1, Catenacci D. (G), Larkin T. (A), Gazley D. (A2)
03:05, 6 - 1, Mantenuto D. (G),
03:31, 7 - 1, Salinitri A. (G), Larkin T. (A), Catenacci D. (A2)
04:00, 8 - 1, Marchetti M. (G), Kostner D. (A), Trivellato A. (A2)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 3 and 6 in the zone Relegation ~ WCH IB).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Italy won 5.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Italy is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Italy to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Italy won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
03.05.24	Italy - Hungary	2:3 OT ✺
01.05.24	Slovenia - Italy	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Italy - Japan	4:3 OT ✺
28.04.24	Romania - Italy	1:6 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
24.04.24	Italy - South Korea	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW
- South Korea hockey
IIHF World Championship IA
03.05.24	South Korea - Romania	2:3 ✺
01.05.24	Japan - South Korea	4:3 ✺
30.04.24	Hungary - South Korea	6:2 ✺
28.04.24	South Korea - Slovenia	4:2 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
25.04.24	South Korea - Japan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Ice Hockey
24.04.24	Italy - South Korea	4:3 OT
IIHF World Championship IA
30.04.23	Italy - South Korea	6:1
Friendly International Ice Hockey
11.02.23	South Korea - Italy	2:5
Ice Hockey International Tournament Hungary
07.11.18	Italy - South Korea	5:2
04.11.16	South Korea - Italy	2:3 penalties
IIHF World Championship IA
29.04.16	Italy - South Korea	2:1
Ice Hockey International Tournament Hungary
08.11.14	Italy - South Korea	3:4 penalties

Italy - South Korea