Match Info

VHL

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Khokkeynyy Gorod (Saint Petersburg) 🌤️ ...


	SKA-VMF		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.6	2.29
	2.7	3.82	2.3	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.41)	3.67 ↓ (3.74)	2.28 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
34.6%

Draw
25%

Izhstal
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

24.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

25.4%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

SKA VMF - Izhstal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
74. Podlyagin N. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
14. Shekhovtsov Y. (A)	81. Glinsky M.
47. Zelenov Y.	26. Petrikov Y. (A)
97. Nugmanov A.	17. Dyuryagin D. (A)
38. Gurzanov Y. (A)	10. Astashevsky S.
91. Lutfullin I.	41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 2
84. Vydrenkov I.	98. Yanchevsky M.
80. Gryaznov G. (C)	3. Yuzlenko Y.
96. Kabat M.	25. Shiksatdarov I.
83. Shamshurin S.	57. Yepishchev I.
56. Khanin M.	28. Alekseev A.
Line 3
21. Kalinin N.	11. Slepkov I.
92. Vashchenko N.	23. Glebov G. (C)
85. Kapchuk S.	29. Kruzhenkov Y.
79. Graf Y.	78. Sokolov S.
23. Osipov G.	39. Kovalyov A.
Line 4
63. Anisimov S.	59. Dolgopyatov N.
11. Gorbushin M.	45. Nazarko A.
37. Ilyichyov M.	21. Pugachyov A.
6. Marchenko T.	36. Poyarkov D.
	70. Shilov A.
Substitutes
60. Belousov B. (G)	43. Volkov G. (G)
50. Rogatko A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:37, 1 - 0, Ilyichyov M. (G), Marchenko T. (A),
17:52, 1 - 1, Shilov A. (G), Petrikov Y. (A), Pugachyov A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:38, 2 - 1, Gurzanov Y. (G), Nugmanov A. (A),
07:21, 3 - 1, Ilyichyov M. (G), Gorbushin M. (A),
09:47, 3 - 2, Slepkov I. (G), Astashevsky S. (A), Dyuryagin D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:03, 4 - 2, Nugmanov A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 3.

In recent matches, SKA-VMF has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Izhstal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of away games.

Recently, Izhstal has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 72:42. (average 3.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 4.1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	15	8	2	1	4	41:23	21
29	Izhevsk	17	2	2	2	11	36:52	10

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.78%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
22.01.26	Kristall Saratov - SKA-VMF	1:4 ✺
20.01.26	Dizel Penza - SKA-VMF	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Ryazan - SKA-VMF	4:0 ✺
16.01.26	AKM - SKA-VMF	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	SKA-VMF - Chelny	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWL
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
22.01.26	Izhstal - Norilsk	1:6 ✺
19.01.26	Izhstal - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 penalties ✺
15.01.26	Izhstal - Dynamo-Altay	5:3 ✺
10.01.26	Tambov - Izhstal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
25.10.25	Izhstal - SKA-VMF	5:0
14.03.25	SKA-VMF - Izhstal	9:1
09.09.24	Izhstal - SKA-VMF	1:2 OT
25.11.23	Izhstal - SKA-VMF	2:3
17.11.23	SKA-VMF - Izhstal	1:2 OT
07.01.23	SKA-VMF - Izhstal	4:3 penalties
17.10.22	Izhstal - SKA-VMF	1:6

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