The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CSK VVS Samara 58.3%
Draw 20.3%
Chelny 21.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.6%
19.9%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66%
22.1%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSK VVS Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSK VVS Samara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
CSK VVS Samara - Chelny Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
71. Popov D. (G)
60. Sartakov V. (G)
8. Gorbunov K.
72. Kolmagorov K. (C)
64. Belousov M.
5. Davydov D. (A)
13. Demchenko V.
59. Anufriev I.
19. Galimov A. (A)
68. Silayev I. (A)
94. Anop D. (A)
18. Guskov I.
Line 2
61. Vafin K.
62. Naumov G.
96. Ganabin Y.
44. Vinogradov A.
43. Ozhgikhin A.
9. Nasyrov M.
63. Groshev Y.
26. Tarasov A.
52. Grishakov A.
97. Smirnov N.
Line 3
18. Safonov I. (C)
19. Zakharov N.
21. Lukin A.
12. Marin M.
23. Chervonenko V.
10. Ustimkin M.
73. Kaletnik V.
94. Sherstobitov D.
75. Dyadenkin D.
11. Luchenkov S.
Line 4
7. Teterin O.
25. Rakhcheev I.
81. Litvinov I.
86. Minnekhanov T.
11. Mustafin R.
69. Redkov A.
87. Borodin D.
22. Minnekhanov B.
Substitutes
88. Ustimenko K. (G)
80. Gorokhov N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
02:49, 0 - 1, Anufriev I. (G), Naumov G. (A), Kolmagorov K. (A2)
04:22, 1 - 1, Mustafin R. (G), Grishakov A. (A), Anop D. (A2)
10:36, 1 - 2, Luchenkov S. (G), Silayev I. (A), Zakharov N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:37, 2 - 2, Kaletnik V. (G), Gorbunov K. (A), Chervonenko V. (A2)
08:50, 3 - 2, Demchenko V. (G), Safonov I. (A), Groshev Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19', 4 - 2, (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 3.
CSK VVS is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Chelny has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Chelny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, CSK VVS is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 77:54. (average 3.9:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, CSK VVS won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:25. (average 4.5:2.3).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
28
CSK VVS
18
3
1
2
12
35:62
10
Last Results with these Odds
Chelny - the odds 4.46 are the expected chance of winning is 20.47%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Popov D. (G) 
Demchenko V. 
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