Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Izhevsk)


	Izhstal		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.99	4.14	3.08	Watch
	1.95	3.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.12)	4 ↑ (3.84)	3.02 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
46.6%

Draw
23%

Norilsk
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

23.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Izhstal - Norilsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)
81. Glinsky M.	64. Minayev Y.
26. Petrikov Y. (A)	28. Makeyev N.
25. Shiksatdarov I.	71. Golodnyuk S.
10. Astashevsky S.	89. Gorbunov D. (A)
41. Yerofeyev A.	69. Skorikov D.
Line 2
82. Murylev A.	18. Alexeyev D.
3. Yuzlenko Y.	44. Kovalev I.
17. Dyuryagin D. (A)	56. Mokin N. (C)
78. Sokolov S.	11. Shevchenko V. (A)
99. Ogirchuk D.	93. Korenev I.
Line 3
11. Slepkov I.	72. Korchemkin D.
23. Glebov G. (C)	51. Popov O.
70. Shilov A.	10. Lipanov A.
57. Yepishchev I.	92. Yakovlev Y.
39. Kovalyov A.	19. Aksenov A.
Line 4
45. Nazarko A.	79. Chebykin Y.
21. Pugachyov A.	91. Lazarev A.
36. Poyarkov D.	86. Melnichenko K.
59. Dolgopyatov N.	63. Yemets I.
Substitutes
77. Khisamutdinov A.	37. Botov M. (G)
43. Volkov G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
00:10, 0 - 1, Skorikov D. (G), Mokin N. (A),
09:31, 1 - 1, Pugachyov A. (G), Slepkov I. (A), Dolgopyatov N. (A2)
13:40, 1 - 2, Mokin N. (G), Aksenov A. (A), Kovalev I. (A2)
17:04, 1 - 3, Korenev I. (G), Mokin N. (A), Aksenov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
03:38, 1 - 4, Shevchenko V. (G),
05:00, 1 - 5, Korenev I. (G), Korchemkin D. (A), Yakovlev Y. (A2)
09:39, 1 - 6, Golodnyuk S. (G),

Preview

Izhstal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Norilsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Norilsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Norilsk has had a series of home games.

Izhstal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	HC Norilsk	13	6	1	2	4	27:29	16
29	Izhevsk	11	1	2	1	7	25:34	7

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.26%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
19.01.26	Izhstal - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 penalties ✺
15.01.26	Izhstal - Dynamo-Altay	5:3 ✺
10.01.26	Tambov - Izhstal	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Rostov - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- HK Norilsk
VHL
18.01.26	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	2:3 ✺
16.01.26	Norilsk - Dizel Penza	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Norilsk - Ryazan	3:4 OT ✺
12.01.26	Norilsk - AKM	6:2 ✺
29.12.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Norilsk	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
30.10.25	Norilsk - Izhstal	0:5
16.01.25	Izhstal - Norilsk	2:4
05.11.24	Norilsk - Izhstal	8:3
08.02.24	Norilsk - Izhstal	2:3 penalties
16.09.23	Izhstal - Norilsk	2:1

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