Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Izhevsk)


	Izhstal		Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk

	1	X	2
	3.32	3.88	1.97	Watch
	3.15	3.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.83)	3.87 ↑ (3.5)	1.92 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
28.4%

Draw
23.7%

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

26.7%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.2%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Izhstal - Yugra Khanty Mansiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Lysenkov N. (G)	50. Sokhatsky V. (G)
81. Glinsky M.	4. Yelizarov A. (A)
50. Zhdanov Y. (A)	89. Teryayev S. (C)
17. Dyuryagin D. (A)	66. Belyayev M.
10. Astashevsky S.	81. Spiridonov Y.
41. Yerofeyev A.	37. Udot A.
Line 2
45. Nazarko A.	67. Afanasyev M.
3. Yuzlenko Y.	57. Sevostyanov A.
60. Yakovlev P.	33. Maklozyan Y.
78. Sokolov S.	15. Busarov G. (A)
99. Ogirchuk D.	12. Sholokhov M.
Line 3
11. Slepkov I.	79. Savelyev A.
23. Glebov G. (C)	47. Medvedev P.
29. Kruzhenkov Y.	28. Kazakov M.
57. Yepishchev I.	80. Maltsev M.
39. Kovalyov A.	13. Kadyshev K.
Line 4
7. Kudryashov I.	72. Savchik K.
21. Pugachyov A.	11. Popov A.
36. Poyarkov D.	17. Podkorytov A.
59. Dolgopyatov N.	91. Makeyev A.
Substitutes
70. Shilov A.	92. Gurevich I.
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	59. Sukhachyov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:51, 0 - 1, Makeyev A. (G), Popov A. (A), Savelyev A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 4)
03:07, 0 - 2, Maklozyan Y. (G), Medvedev P. (A),
09:51, 0 - 3, Makeyev A. (G), Maltsev M. (A), Kazakov M. (A2)
11:36, 0 - 4, Popov A. (G), Busarov G. (A),
19:31, 0 - 5, Podkorytov A. (G), Afanasyev M. (A), Busarov G. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:30, 1 - 5, Pugachyov A. (G), Dolgopyatov N. (A),
10:43, 1 - 6, Busarov G. (G), Medvedev P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Yugra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Yugra will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 27:58. (average 1.8:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 2.1:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.23%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
17.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	4:1 ✺
15.12.25	Khimik - Izhstal	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Izhstal	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 ✺
03.12.25	Izhstal - Khimik	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWL
- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
20.12.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:5 penalties ✺
18.12.25	Molot Perm - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:5 ✺
13.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - AKM	4:3 OT ✺
11.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Ryazan	2:3 penalties ✺
09.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Dizel Penza	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.11.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Izhstal	4:2
02.03.25	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:4
20.09.24	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Izhstal	4:1
21.12.23	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:4
23.10.23	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Izhstal	3:2 OT
09.01.23	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Izhstal	4:0
13.10.22	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3

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