Match Info

VHL

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	2.07	3.39	2.78
	2.02	3.3	2.7
	1.93	3.74	3.54	Watch
	1.94	3.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.77)	3.56 ↓ (4.05)	3.06 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
45.2%

Draw
25.3%

Dizel Penza
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

23.1%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

23.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk's form might have worsened.

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dizel Penza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dizel Penza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yugra Khanty Mansiysk - Dizel Penza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yugra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
50. Sokhatsky V. (G)	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)
21. Kirpichnikov A.	59. Nikitin Y.
72. Savchik K.	72. Chmykhov A.
71. Bashkirov D.	81. Mayorov N.
80. Maltsev M. (C)	84. Utkin M.
66. Misnikov A.	23. Chesnokov G.
Line 2
22. Filatov A.	25. Rudakov G.
14. Mokrushev D.	83. Sukhov S.
47. Bulatov D.	70. Gazizov R.
10. Pochivalov D.	87. Mingaleyev D. (C)
19. Grishakov A.	33. Mukhanov T.
Line 3
64. Minayev Y.	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
6. Gordeyev M.	9. Balanov Y.
42. Shutov V. (A)	69. Boluchevsky A. (A)
12. Sholokhov M. (A)	47. Bobylyov V.
37. Baranov Y.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 4
11. Popov A.	5. Gafarov G.
86. Korobintsev V.	96. Dryagilev A.
82. Mamaladze D.	7. Savunov D.
23. Osipov G.	13. Svishchyov K.
	91. Opolinsky M.
Substitutes
29. Fudymovsky M. (G)	20. Savenkov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:32, 1 - 0, Grishakov A. (G), Bashkirov D. (A), Maltsev M. (A2)
19:19, 2 - 0, Osipov G. (G), Gordeyev M. (A), Mamaladze D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:41, 3 - 0, Korobintsev V. (G), Misnikov A. (A), Bashkirov D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yugra won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Yugra could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Yugra holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Yugra has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:35 (averaging 2.7:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yugra against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 23:16 goals (averaging 2.9:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	HC Yugra	19	9	2	1	7	45:32	23
26	Dizel	17	3	3	2	9	33:42	14

Last Results with these Odds

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.95%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
15.10.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Tambov	6:1 ✺
13.10.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Buran Voronezh	0:1 ✺
01.10.26	Omskie Krylia - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:0 ✺
29.09.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:3 ✺
27.09.26	Rubin Tyumen - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL
- Dizel Penza
VHL
15.10.26	Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza	2:3 AET ✺
13.10.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
11.10.26	Omskie Krylia - Dizel Penza	3:2 ✺
05.10.26	Dizel Penza - Dynamo-Altay	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Dizel Penza	1:4
27.11.25	Dizel Penza - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:2
22.01.25	Dizel Penza - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	6:0
01.11.24	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Dizel Penza	2:3 penalties
07.01.24	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Dizel Penza	7:2
16.10.23	Dizel Penza - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:0
23.01.23	Dizel Penza - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:6

Upcoming Matches