Match Info
Mestis - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 11 March 2026, WednesdayLocation: PKS Areena (Joensuu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat |
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Jokerit |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.35 |
4.4 |
1.61 |
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 |
4.04 |
4.3 |
1.6 |
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4.25 |
4.65 |
1.62 |
Watch |
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4.33 |
4.4 |
1.53 |
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4.85 |
4.55 |
1.51 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.36 ↑ (4.25) |
4.46 ↓ (4.55) |
1.57 ↓ (1.61) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat 21% | Draw 20.6% | Jokerit 58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jokerit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Joensuun Kiekko Pojat - Jokerit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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30. Ahopelto J. (G)
| 30. Vehvilainen V. (G)
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3. Liiri N.
| 73. Tuhkanen O.
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86. Sevanen R. (C)
| 52. Tuomola R.
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11. Taskula J.
| 40. Suni O.
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97. Janhonen J.
| 22. Forslund A.
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29. Lohisalo J.
| 74. Henriksson J.
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| Line 2 |
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27. Maenpaa K.
| 12. Tumanovs M.
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13. Vatanen S.
| 47. Forsblom S. (C)
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6. Hartikainen S.
| 25. Leskinen V.
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20. Kokkola T. (A)
| 92. Mustonen A.
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17. Virtanen A.
| 26. Kangasniemi O.
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| Line 3 |
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2. Mikkola N.
| 53. Elorinne A. (A)
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18. Wehmas J.
| 41. Manninen O. (A)
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80. Vallius S.
| 21. Karvinen O.
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19. Brygger J.
| 19. Nalli M.
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38. Heino L.
| 80. Vainikainen V.
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| Line 4 |
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72. Viitala J.
| 2. Rantakari O.
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95. Matikainen K.
| 20. Lahnaviik R.
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28. Suvanto N.
| 16. Henritius T.
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56. Haikonen A.
| 29. Kallio B.
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| Substitutes |
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73. Kaskisuo K. (G)
| 32. Anttila E. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 00:20, 0 - 1, Henriksson J. (G), Tuomola R. (A),
- 04:01, 1 - 1, Taskula J. (Penalty Shot),
- 14:14, 1 - 2, Kangasniemi O. (G), Leskinen V. (A), Mustonen A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
Jokerit leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JoKP won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, Jokerit is considered a favorite.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, JoKP won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 36:67. (average 1.9:3.5).Including home matches between the teams, JoKP won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:28. (average 1.4:3.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 7 | Kiekko-Pojat | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24:34 | 9 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Jokerit - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.71%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 09.03.26 | Jokerit - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 1:4 | | 07.03.26 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Jokerit | 2:4 | | 06.03.26 | Jokerit - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 2:0 | | 04.03.26 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Jokerit | 1:0 | | 02.03.26 | Jokerit - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 6:0 | | 28.01.26 | Jokerit - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 3:0 | | 03.01.26 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Jokerit | 3:4 OT |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;