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Current Win Probability
KalPa 39.8%
Draw 24.2%
Jokerit 36%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
25.3%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
26.5%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
KalPa - Jokerit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 13th and 16th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Jokerit could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for KalPa in today's match, at odds of 2.28.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, KalPa has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:19 (averaging 1.7:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KalPa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:3 goals (averaging 2.8:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
13
KalPa
16
7
0
1
8
42:39
22
16
Jokerit
16
3
1
3
9
36:53
14
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Jokerit: 3.68%
Last Results with these Odds
KalPa - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.