Match Info

Date: 20 December 2021, Monday


	Jokerit		HC CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.55	4	2.4	Watch
	2.5	4	2.45
	2.63	3.85	2.35	Watch
	2.55	3.9	2.38
	2.66	3.82	2.43
	2.45	4	2.5
	2.61	3.92	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.45)	3.93 ↓ (3.99)	2.41 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit
36.8%

Draw
24%

HC CSKA Moscow
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

23.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

18.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

HC CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jokerit that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HC CSKA Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Jokerit - HC CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Jokerit will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). CSKA will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

CSKA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Jokerit have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 34 head-to-head matches Jokerit won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 22 matches and goals 71-89.

Including matches at home between the teams Jokerit won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 39-38.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit hockey
KHL
12.12.21	Dinamo Minsk - Jokerit	5:3 ✺
10.12.21	Spartak Moscow - Jokerit	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Jokerit	3:4 OT ✺
06.12.21	Jokerit - Amur Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
03.12.21	SKA Saint Petersburg - Jokerit	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL
- HC CSKA Moscow
KHL
12.12.21	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - HC CSKA Moscow	3:2 OT ✺
08.12.21	HC CSKA Moscow - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:5 ✺
06.12.21	Dynamo Moscow - HC CSKA Moscow	2:3 OT ✺
02.12.21	HC CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:0 OT ✺
30.11.21	HC CSKA Moscow - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
26.11.21	Jokerit - HC CSKA Moscow	2:3 OT
23.01.21	HC CSKA Moscow - Jokerit	1:3
03.01.21	HC CSKA Moscow - Jokerit	5:4 OT
14.10.20	Jokerit - HC CSKA Moscow	5:2
27.09.20	Jokerit - HC CSKA Moscow	2:4
24.10.19	HC CSKA Moscow - Jokerit	0:3
25.09.19	Jokerit - HC CSKA Moscow	1:5

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