Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Jokerit U20		Vaasan Sport U20

	1	X	2
	1.45	5.00	4.75
	1.45	5	4
	1.53	4.6	4.29
	1.47	5	4.76	Watch
	1.51	4.55	4.2
	1.47	4.8	4.78
	1.47	4.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 (1.48)	4.78 ↑ (4.68)	4.48 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit U20
61%

Draw
18.9%

Vaasan Sport U20
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

19.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

21.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Jokerit U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Vaasan Sport U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit U20 than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jokerit U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Jokerit U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
00:20, 1 - 0, Virtanen A. (G), Karvinen A. (A), Kamarainen N. (A2)
02:57, 2 - 0, Borgstrom N. (G), Virtanen A. (A), Kamarainen N. (A2)
08:00, 3 - 0, Maenpaa V. (G), Mand J. (A), Kamarainen N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:47, 4 - 0, Heinanen A. (G), Agarth V. (A), Aarvala T. (A2)
14:28, 4 - 1, Sjoman J. (G), Uutela K. (A), Mourujarvi E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:52, 4 - 2, Koivunen E. (G), Mourujarvi E. (A), Vanninen E. (A2)
10:31, 4 - 3, Hannula A. (G),
17:45, 4 - 4, Flugins K. (G), Kohvakka O. (A), Andrey T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit U20 won 2.

Jokerit U20 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vaasan Sport U20 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Vaasan Sport U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Jokerit U20 carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Jokerit U20 has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:49 (averaging 3.6:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jokerit U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 18:24 goals (averaging 2.6:3.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Jokerit U20	11	6	1	2	2	47:26	22
16	Vaasan Sport U20	9	1	1	1	6	29:37	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit U20 hockey
Finnish SM-sarja U20
26.09.26	Jokerit U20 - RoKi U20	5:1 ✺
20.09.26	Pelicans U20 - Jokerit U20	5:4 ✺
19.09.26	Jokerit U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Kärpät U20 - Jokerit U20	2:5 ✺
11.09.26	RoKi U20 - Jokerit U20	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL
- Vaasan Sport U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
26.09.26	Pelicans U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:5 ✺
13.09.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - HPK U20	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ilves U20	6:9 ✺
05.09.26	HIFK U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
12.12.25	Jokerit U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	0:1
21.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Jokerit U20	4:3 OT
15.11.24	Jokerit U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	0:3
13.09.24	Vaasan Sport U20 - Jokerit U20	2:5
24.11.23	Jokerit U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	6:4
27.10.23	Vaasan Sport U20 - Jokerit U20	2:1 OT
24.09.22	Vaasan Sport U20 - Jokerit U20	0:3

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