Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Kärpät U20		KalPa U20

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.4	2.25
	2.02	4.16	2.77
	1.54	4.76	4.36	Watch
	1.94	4.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.91)	4.41 ↑ (3.98)	3.08 (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kärpät U20
49%

Draw
21%

KalPa U20
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

22.9%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

KalPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Kärpät U20 - KalPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
04:24, 1 - 0, Ruotsalainen V. (G), Viita F. (A), Martinmaki K. (A2)
09:58, 2 - 0, Jung S. (G), Salovaara E. (A), Tauriainen A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
10:44, 3 - 0, Viita F. (G), Pietila B. (A),
17:39, 3 - 1, Miilunpohja R. (G), Happonen E. (A), Pulkkanen A. (A2)
18:38, 3 - 2, Heikkinen O. (G), Olli T. (A), Happonen E. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:51, 4 - 2, Jung S. (G),
05:53, 5 - 2, Jung S. (G), Peipinen H. (A),
09:24, 6 - 2, Jung S. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Viita F. (A2)
18:49, 6 - 3, Halonen A. (G), Olli T. (A), Heikkinen O. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 3.

Recent form of Kärpät U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KalPa U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kärpät U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:53. (average 3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 2.4:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

KalPa U20 - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
11.10.25	Kärpät U20 - Lukko U20	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	0:5 ✺
04.10.25	HPK U20 - Kärpät U20	6:1 ✺
03.10.25	Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20	5:2 ✺
28.09.25	Kärpät U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
11.10.25	KalPa U20 - RoKi U20	8:1 ✺
10.10.25	Tappara U20 - KalPa U20	1:4 ✺
04.10.25	KooKoo U20 - KalPa U20	1:2 penalties ✺
03.10.25	KalPa U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:6 ✺
28.09.25	KalPa U20 - HIFK U20	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
12.09.25	KalPa U20 - Kärpät U20	3:4
24.01.25	Kärpät U20 - KalPa U20	1:5
16.01.25	KalPa U20 - Kärpät U20	1:4
18.10.24	KalPa U20 - Kärpät U20	6:1
05.10.24	Kärpät U20 - KalPa U20	3:1
24.02.24	Kärpät U20 - KalPa U20	4:5
12.01.24	KalPa U20 - Kärpät U20	1:5

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