The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kärpät U20 33.1%
Draw 21.9%
Lukko U20 45%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.9%
22.1%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
23.4%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Lukko U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Kärpät U20 - Lukko U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
14:27, 0 - 1, Floris J. (G), Loytokorpi M. (A),
16:27, 1 - 1, Kylmala O. (G), Erholtz A. (A), Jurvelin L. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:57, 2 - 1, Niemela V. (G), Pitkanen E. (A), Jaako J. (A2)
06:25, 3 - 1, Niemela V. (G), Karassaari J. (A),
07:20, 4 - 1, Pitkanen E. (G), Kahkonen V. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:42, 5 - 1, Karassaari J. (G), Mattila L. (A), Kahkonen V. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 1.
Kärpät U20 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Lukko U20 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Kärpät U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kärpät U20 has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kärpät U20 has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:47 (averaging 2.6:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kärpät U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 28:32 goals (averaging 2.2:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Karpat U20
18
9
3
0
6
66:54
33
6
Lukko U20
15
8
2
0
5
45:32
28
Last Results with these Odds
Lukko U20 - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.01%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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