Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	KalPa U20		HIFK U20

	1	X	2
	1.88	4.29	2.98
	1.43	5.56	4.86	Watch
	1.88	4.3	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.9)	4.72 ↑ (4.53)	3.64 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KalPa U20
54.3%

Draw
19.9%

HIFK U20
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

20.4%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

19.6%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KalPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KalPa U20's performance.

HIFK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HIFK U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK U20 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

KalPa U20 - HIFK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:47, 1 - 0, Korkiakoski T. (G), Happonen E. (A), Heikkinen O. (A2)
12:44, 2 - 0, Miilunpohja R. (G), Timofejev D. (A), Korkiakoski T. (A2)
18:19, 2 - 1, Kahkonen V. (G), Tuovinen A. (A), Gronholm E. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 4)
04:20, 2 - 2, Parkkali J. (G), Puttonen J. (A), Hallaskari D. (A2)
04:53, 2 - 3, Puolanne A. (G), Parkkali J. (A), Tiainen H. (A2)
06:04, 2 - 4, Bhomwik E. (G), Salomaa L. (A), Gronholm E. (A2)
09:50, 3 - 4, Korkiakoski T. (G), Timofejev D. (A),
11:34, 4 - 4, Hintikka J. (G), Hirvonen D. (A),
16:42, 4 - 5, Uronen E. (G), Tuovinen A. (A), Gronholm E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:05, 5 - 5, Kekarainen S. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:59, 5 - 6, Tallqvist R. (G), Savolainen V. (A), Kahkonen V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

KalPa U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 66:63. (average 3.7:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, KalPa U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:22. (average 4.4:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	KalPa U20 - TPS U20	4:2 ✺
21.09.25	Ässät U20 - KalPa U20	6:3 ✺
20.09.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - KalPa U20	3:6 ✺
13.09.25	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	6:4 ✺
12.09.25	KalPa U20 - Kärpät U20	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLL
- HIFK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	JYP U20 - HIFK U20	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Lukko U20 - HIFK U20	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 ✺
13.09.25	Ilves U20 - HIFK U20	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	HIFK U20 - Kärpät U20	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
05.09.25	HIFK U20 - KalPa U20	3:4
08.03.25	HIFK U20 - KalPa U20	6:2
25.10.24	KalPa U20 - HIFK U20	6:3
19.01.24	HIFK U20 - KalPa U20	4:6
03.11.23	KalPa U20 - HIFK U20	4:3 OT
24.09.22	KalPa U20 - HIFK U20	3:2 OT
05.03.22	KalPa U20 - HIFK U20	4:1

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