Match Info

Auroraliiga Women

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Olvi Areena (Kuopio)


	KalPa		TPS

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.3	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 (3.1)	4.3 (4.3)	1.76 (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 12.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KalPa
28.7%

Draw
20.7%

TPS
50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

24.3%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for KalPa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for TPS have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:30, 1 - 0, Sano L. (G), Paroinen V. (A),
05:53, 1 - 1, Timonen A. (G), Kahkonen P. (A), Erbenova M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:24, 1 - 2, Korpela N. (G),
06:05, 1 - 3, Friederiksen S. (G), Erbenova M. (A), Sundman F. (A2)

Preview

KalPa is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

TPS is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2.

In recent matches, KalPa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

TPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, TPS has had a series of away games.

TPS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 81:48. (average 4.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 50:24. (average 4.5:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	TPS W	12	4	0	2	6	27:43	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KalPa Hockey Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
14.02.26	KalPa - TPS	4:3 penalties ✺
01.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa	5:0 ✺
31.01.26	TPS - KalPa	4:3 OT ✺
25.01.26	KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo	0:6 ✺
10.01.26	KalPa - Kärpat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLLW
- TPS Hockey Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
14.02.26	KalPa - TPS	4:3 penalties ✺
31.01.26	TPS - KalPa	4:3 OT ✺
30.01.26	HIFK - TPS	4:2 ✺
25.01.26	HIFK - TPS	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo - TPS	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
14.02.26	KalPa - TPS	4:3 penalties
31.01.26	TPS - KalPa	4:3 OT
15.11.25	TPS - KalPa	2:1 penalties
07.12.24	KalPa - TPS	3:4 penalties
23.11.24	TPS - KalPa	0:1 OT
03.11.24	KalPa - TPS	1:2
19.10.24	TPS - KalPa	5:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS Hockey Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
24.10.26	TPS - Kärpat	✺

KalPa - TPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide