The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kapitan Stupino 38.3%
Draw 23.7%
Amurskie Tigry 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
22.8%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
22.1%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapitan Stupino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kapitan Stupino's form might have worsened.
Amurskie Tigry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amurskie Tigry's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kapitan Stupino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amurskie Tigry than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amurskie Tigry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kapitan Stupino - Amurskie Tigry Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
50. Rudovich P. (G)
30. Lemeshko K. (G)
5. Sapozhnikov A. (A)
22. Doroshenko M. (C)
95. Dautov M.
7. Popov A.
39. Kuzmin F.
96. Startsev V.
32. Fysyna R.
74. Krasovsky A.
7. Babenko M.
32. Rizvanov R.
Line 2
49. Pogorelov S.
88. Dyominsky Y.
4. Kruglikov D.
9. Matyev Y.
47. Rakov P.
57. Vagapov D. (A)
82. Drozdov V.
78. Saksonin G.
78. Sulima V. (A)
92. Novak S. (A)
Line 3
66. Golovatyuk N.
48. Kulyushin S.
43. Chamayev A.
76. Salikov G.
62. Soshnikov A.
23. Kolodyazhnyi A.
27. Lobanov I. (C)
43. Samsonov Y.
64. Zotov I.
51. Alekseichuk S.
Line 4
48. Maklakov A.
84. Kibenko I.
81. Tarasov A.
65. Kagramanov R.
83. Menshenin Y.
13. Balanchik I.
20. Vergeichik V.
80. Manukyan G.
36. Kutishchev K.
11. Melnik N.
Substitutes
52. Beryoza A. (G)
35. Podorozhny M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
09:17, 1 - 0, Babenko M. (G), Rakov P. (A),
17:34, 1 - 1, Saksonin G. (G), Vagapov D. (A), Kagramanov R. (A2)
17:46, 2 - 1, Zotov I. (G), Sapozhnikov A. (A), Dautov M. (A2)
18:04, 3 - 1, Sulima V. (G), Drozdov V. (A), Soshnikov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:38, 3 - 2, Vagapov D. (G), Krasovsky A. (A), Rizvanov R. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 3.
Kapitan Stupino is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Amurskie Tigry has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Amurskie Tigry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kapitan Stupino has had a series of away games.
Recently, Amurskie Tigry has had a series of home games.
Kapitan Stupino might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Kapitan Stupino will win today's game, with odds of 2.08.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 69:58. (average 3.5:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Kapitan Stupino won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 3.4:2.8).
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Rudovich P. (G) 
Lemeshko K. (G) 
Balanchik I. 
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