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Current Win Probability
SKA-Akademiya 49.3%
Draw 22.1%
Kapitan Stupino 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
20.2%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
19.7%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA-Akademiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SKA-Akademiya's form might have worsened.
Kapitan Stupino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kapitan Stupino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-Akademiya than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-Akademiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kapitan Stupino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
SKA Akademiya - Kapitan Stupino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
75. Perov A. (G)
50. Rudovich P. (G)
8. Uglov A.
5. Sapozhnikov A.
12. Khodeyev Y.
95. Dautov M.
92. Masiyansky M. (C)
47. Rakov P.
11. Vasilyev V. (A)
27. Lobanov I. (C)
65. Privalov Y.
7. Babenko M. (A)
Line 2
56. Gorokhov S.
49. Pogorelov S.
7. Aptikashev D.
4. Kruglikov D.
10. Nikolayev G.
72. Vdovtsov A.
9. Fursov K. (A)
82. Drozdov V.
4. Korablyov A.
78. Sulima V.
Line 3
19. Mironov V.
66. Golovatyuk N.
44. Kanarsky Y.
54. Kondratyev A.
22. Zatsepin S.
76. Tatulov G.
72. Chernykh D.
20. Vergeichik V.
97. Samoilov A.
71. Zaitsev M. (A)
Line 4
29. Kovalyov M.
83. Menshenin Y.
87. Kireyev A.
81. Tarasov A.
73. Gorbushin P.
48. Maklakov A.
71. Lvov N.
64. Zotov I.
88. Timashkov M.
36. Kutishchev K.
Substitutes
30. Karbainov M. (G)
52. Beryoza A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
09:02, 0 - 1, Sulima V. (G), Drozdov V. (A), Vdovtsov A. (A2)
11:30, 0 - 2, Lobanov I. (G), Babenko M. (A), Sapozhnikov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:27, 0 - 3, Sulima V. (G), Drozdov V. (A), Pogorelov S. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 3)
05:51, 0 - 4, Vergeichik V. (G), Babenko M. (A), Dautov M. (A2)
09:13, 1 - 4, Vasilyev V. (G), Gorokhov S. (A),
11:21, 2 - 4, Korablyov A. (G), Masiyansky M. (A),
15:53, 2 - 5, Vergeichik V. (G), Drozdov V. (A), Sulima V. (A2)
17:14, 3 - 5, Privalov Y. (G), Vasilyev V. (A), Uglov A. (A2)
17:57, 4 - 5, Fursov K. (G),
19:18, 4 - 6, Sulima V. (G), Drozdov V. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-Akademiya won 2.
SKA-Akademiya is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kapitan Stupino has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kapitan Stupino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
SKA-Akademiya will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, SKA-Akademiya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 2.9:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, SKA-Akademiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 2.3:2).
Watch
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Perov A. (G) 
Rudovich P. (G) 
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