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Kapitan Stupino vs Spartak MAX Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, January 29, 2026)

Match Info

MHL

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday


	Kapitan Stupino		Spartak MAX

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.92	2.31
	2.39	4.05	2.31	Watch
	2.35	4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.35)	3.99 ↓ (4.05)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapitan Stupino
37.7%

Draw
22.8%

Spartak MAX
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

22.5%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

24.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapitan Stupino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Spartak MAX has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak MAX than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Rudovich P. (G)	70. Midlak Y. (G)
75. Tsevelev V.	98. Morozov S.
95. Dautov M. (C)	73. Zhiryakov V. (A)
24. Maximov R.	61. Oblashchikov I.
82. Drozdov V. (A)	37. Ilyin A.
39. Kuzmin F.	96. Perelygin G. (C)
Line 2
49. Pogorelov S.	85. Beny Y.
48. Maklakov A.	82. Sanin D.
72. Vdovtsov A.	79. Vuichenko I.
89. Rummo Y.	64. Pivchulin G.
7. Babenko M.	97. Ogorodnikov Y.
Line 3
81. Tarasov A.	33. Cherkashin O.
94. Kozlov I.	75. Ustsov D.
62. Soshnikov A.	24. Tatsi M.
59. Vishnyakov S.	8. Safronov A.
79. Bashlykov Y.	72. Yermonin M.
Line 4
20. Vergeichik V.	92. Kazakov K.
3. Safin E.	90. Kachalov Y. (A)
36. Kutishchev K.	78. Murashev Y.
27. Lobanov I.	21. Belugin I.
58. Lapshov D.	15. Kromberg M.
Substitutes
40. Gulkovsky K. (G)	36. Yegorov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
02:21, 0 - 1, Kromberg M. (G),
09:41, 1 - 1, Kutishchev K. (G), Lobanov I. (A),
11:44, 2 - 1, Bashlykov Y. (G), Dautov M. (A), Soshnikov A. (A2)
16:24, 3 - 1, Lobanov I. (G), Kutishchev K. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
08:55, 4 - 1, Babenko M. (G), Rummo Y. (A), Vdovtsov A. (A2)
12:15, 4 - 2, Murashev Y. (G), Belugin I. (A), Beny Y. (A2)
16:01, 4 - 3, Oblashchikov I. (G), Ogorodnikov Y. (A), Vuichenko I. (A2)
19:10, 4 - 4, Belugin I. (G), Murashev Y. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:35, 5 - 4, Tsevelev V. (G), Drozdov V. (A), Kuzmin F. (A2)

Preview

Kapitan Stupino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spartak MAX has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Spartak MAX may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Spartak MAX has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kapitan Stupino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Including home match between the teams, Kapitan Stupino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

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Last Results with these Odds

Kapitan Stupino - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.76%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapitan Stupino
MHL
25.01.26	Kapitan Stupino - Atlant	6:3 ✺
17.01.26	Kapitan Stupino - Krasnaya Armiya	2:6 ✺
15.01.26	Mikhaylov Academy - Kapitan Stupino	5:1 ✺
12.01.26	Kapitan Stupino - MHC Spartak	3:8 ✺
09.01.26	Loko - Kapitan Stupino	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- MHC Spartak MAX
MHL
25.01.26	Spartak MAX - Sakhalinskie Akuly	4:2 ✺
24.01.26	Spartak MAX - Sakhalinskie Akuly	1:2 penalties ✺
21.01.26	Spartak MAX - Amurskie Tigry	0:1 ✺
20.01.26	Spartak MAX - Amurskie Tigry	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Atlant - Spartak MAX	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
13.12.25	Kapitan Stupino - Spartak MAX	2:4

Kapitan Stupino - Spartak MAX: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide