The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kapitan Stupino 41.4%
Draw 23.8%
Tayfun 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
20.7%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
20.2%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapitan Stupino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kapitan Stupino's form might have worsened.
Tayfun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kapitan Stupino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tayfun than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tayfun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kapitan Stupino - Tayfun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
50. Rudovich P. (G)
1. Peshkov G. (G)
95. Dautov M.
44. Vetoshnikov M.
5. Sapozhnikov A. (C)
37. Panov M.
47. Rakov P.
95. Zhdanovsky L.
32. Fysyna R.
27. Plaksin A. (C)
7. Babenko M. (A)
17. Fomin I. (A)
Line 2
49. Pogorelov S.
66. Korzhov D.
3. Safin E.
4. Remizov A.
78. Sulima V. (A)
87. Shalabanov A.
62. Soshnikov A.
71. Yermak D.
20. Vergeichik V.
13. Kryukov N.
Line 3
81. Tarasov A.
18. Shkolny A.
76. Tatulov G.
5. Kravtsov M.
71. Zaitsev M.
86. Rasputin D.
64. Zotov I.
67. Ognyov O.
7. Frukalov A.
Line 4
54. Kondratyev A.
29. Kesso V.
83. Menshenin Y.
92. Varosyan R. (A)
36. Kutishchev K.
61. Saifushev M.
51. Kitchenko A.
Substitutes
52. Beryoza A. (G)
30. Ivanov T. (G)
40. Gulkovsky K. (G)
25. Yumshanov P.
48. Maklakov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
07:48, 0 - 1, Fomin I. (G), Plaksin A. (A),
16:21, 1 - 1, Fysyna R. (G), Sapozhnikov A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:53, 1 - 2, Ognyov O. (G), Remizov A. (A),
06:29, 1 - 3, Plaksin A. (G), Kesso V. (A), Rasputin D. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Tayfun has had a series of away games.
Kapitan Stupino might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 58:65. (average 2.9:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kapitan Stupino won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:39. (average 3.2:3.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Tayfun - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.04%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.