Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday


	Khimik		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.2	6.8
	1.31	5.1	6.51
	1.33	5.65	6.8	Watch
	1.31	5.4	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	5.34 ↑ (4.9)	6.83 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik
69.6%

Draw
17.1%

Ermak Angarsk
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.1%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

19%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimik's performance.

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+3%)

Khimik - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khimik won 4.

Recent matches Khimik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ermak is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Khimik have a series of guest games.

Recently Ermak have a series of home games.

In this match Khimik is absolute favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Khimik won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 43-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Khimik won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Khimik
VHL
03.10.22	SKA-VMF - Khimik	5:4 OT ✺
01.10.22	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Khimik	5:4 penalties ✺
29.09.22	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Khimik	2:3 penalties ✺
27.09.22	Rubin Tyumen - Khimik	3:2 ✺
22.09.22	Khimik - Izhstal	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
02.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT ✺
30.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:1 ✺
28.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Chelmet	3:4 OT ✺
26.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3 ✺
19.09.22	Buran Voronezh - Ermak Angarsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
25.01.22	Ermak Angarsk - Khimik	5:0
30.09.21	Khimik - Ermak Angarsk	4:3
25.12.20	Ermak Angarsk - Khimik	2:3 penalties
26.10.20	Khimik - Ermak Angarsk	4:3 OT
05.10.19	Khimik - Ermak Angarsk	5:2
11.01.19	Ermak Angarsk - Khimik	3:1
11.10.18	Khimik - Ermak Angarsk	3:0

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