Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: VHL 🌤️ ...


	Khimik		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.62	3.81
	1.62	3.50	3.70
	1.80	4.05	3.78	Watch
	1.75	3.95	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.02)	3.78 ↓ (4.05)	3.76 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik
52.5%

Draw
23.7%

Kaluga
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

23.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

24.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimik's performance.

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaluga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaluga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Khimik - Kaluga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Khimik (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Khimik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Kuzmenko Y. (G)	48. Kuznetsov G. (G)
4. Sokolov N. (A)	44. Gaitamirov T. (C)
3. Ivanov D.	89. Denisevich B.
56. Avramov F.	17. Zakharov I.
91. Korotkikh I.	19. Litvinov I. (A)
22. Petrov M.	43. Voronkov P. (A)
Line 2
5. Rukavishnikov R. (C)	27. Maltsev A.
33. Sobolev D.	58. Veryovkin M.
26. Pashin A.	86. Mitrofanov A.
2. Varyushkin Y.	24. Pavlyukov I.
41. Solovyov D.	85. Talaluyev I.
Line 3
70. Bychkov R.	18. Kolomiytsev I.
87. Dmitriyev S.	8. Khalilov I.
77. Zvyagin S.	95. Almazov N.
10. Kukstel P. (A)	74. Yusupov V.
92. Yarovoi S.	67. Ignatov S.
Line 4
82. Karlik D.	33. Denisov P.
32. Maryshev A.	55. Berezin M.
7. Filimonov M.	13. Meshkantsov N.
54. Rybenok S.	12. Sorokin D.
51. Sysoev D.	15. Kitsyn M.
Substitutes
1. Pavlenko M. (G)	1. Vladychek A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
04:48, 1 - 1, Pashin A. (G), Varyushkin Y. (A), Solovyov D. (A2)
11:53, 2 - 1, Pashin A. (G), Solovyov D. (A),
17:21, 2 - 2, Litvinov I. (G), Voronkov P. (A), Gaitamirov T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Khimik may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kaluga has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Khimik for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Kaluga	18	9	2	4	3	43:29	26
9	Khimik	17	7	2	4	4	55:35	22

Last Results with these Odds

Khimik - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.5%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Khimik
VHL
20.10.26	Khimik - AKM	2:3 penalties ✺
18.10.26	Khimik - Ryazan	5:1 ✺
10.10.26	Bars Kazan - Khimik	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Khimik	3:2 ✺
06.10.26	CSK VVS Samara - Khimik	2:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW
- HK Kaluga
VHL
18.10.26	Kaluga - Gornyak-UGMK	1:3 ✺
16.10.26	Kaluga - Chelmet	5:1 ✺
14.10.26	Kaluga - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:1 ✺
12.10.26	Kaluga - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2 penalties ✺
07.10.26	Molot Perm - Kaluga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW

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