Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: VHL 🌤️ ...


	Kaluga		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.29	2.74
	2.06	3.15	2.65
	2.2	3.85	2.84	Watch
	2.14	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.18)	3.47 ↓ (3.85)	2.75 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
41.8%

Draw
25.7%

Gornyak-UGMK
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

24.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

25.3%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Kaluga - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Kokaulin S. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)
43. Voronkov P. (A)	44. Lukhovskoy N.
19. Litvinov I. (A)	13. Zaytsev O. (A)
17. Zakharov I.	91. Makeyev A. (C)
89. Denisevich B.	8. Karpovich D.
44. Gaitamirov T. (C)	94. Kaigorodov G.
Line 2
85. Talaluyev I.	71. Velikov M.
24. Pavlyukov I.	14. Makhrin M.
86. Mitrofanov A.	52. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
58. Veryovkin M.	72. Trofimov Y.
27. Maltsev A.	62. Shchuchinov A.
Line 3
51. Smirnov N.	97. Anufriev I.
74. Yusupov V.	27. Yepishchev I.
95. Almazov N.	70. Alexeyev Y.
8. Khalilov I.	90. Nekrasov N.
18. Kolomiytsev I.	26. Ishimnikov N.
Line 4
11. Meshkantsov Z.	32. Borisov S.
12. Sorokin D.	18. Sushchev V.
71. Smolyov I.	96. Miller N.
55. Berezin M.	22. Molodtsov D.
6. Karimov T.	54. Boikov D.
Substitutes
48. Kuznetsov G. (G)	20. Sokolkin S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:56, 0 - 1, Borisov S. (G), Miller N. (A), Trofimov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:34, 0 - 2, Makeyev A. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A), Zaytsev O. (A2)
19:12, 1 - 2, Yusupov V. (G), Kolomiytsev I. (A), Talaluyev I. (A2)
19:52, 1 - 3, Makeyev A. (G), Miller N. (A), Trofimov Y. (A2)

Preview

Kaluga has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kaluga may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Kaluga in today's match, at odds of 2.14.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Kaluga	18	9	2	4	3	43:29	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Kaluga
VHL
16.10.26	Kaluga - Chelmet	5:1 ✺
14.10.26	Kaluga - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:1 ✺
12.10.26	Kaluga - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2 penalties ✺
07.10.26	Molot Perm - Kaluga	1:3 ✺
05.10.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
16.10.26	AKM - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1 ✺
14.10.26	Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK	5:3 ✺
06.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - CSK VVS Samara	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

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