Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	Kiekko-Espoo		Hermes Kokkola

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.33	3.2
	1.79	4.45	3.35	Watch
	1.8	4.3	3.71
	1.81	4.3	3.71
	1.7	4.8	3.25
	1.82	4.33	3.38
	1.79	4.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2)	4.39 ↑ (3.8)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiekko-Espoo
51.7%

Draw
21.2%

Hermes Kokkola
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

24.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

27.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Kiekko Espoo - Hermes Kokkola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Rimpinen P. (G)	36. Haukka J. (G)
4. Tamminen J.	44. Ahola A. (A)
3. Keskitalo M. (C)	19. Karja V.
90. Koivusaari J.	71. Klintrup E.
37. Elimaki R.	17. Rautiainen J.
91. Larinmaa J.	39. Laakso T.
Line 2
11. Pietila N.	77. Osenieks E.
15. Hopponen E.	15. Uusikartano R.
28. Hamalainen J. (A)	70. Kvasnica M.
82. Tolppola V.	27. Lausniemi A.
19. Kallionkieli M.	16. Liljamo T. (A)
Line 3
48. Nyman N.	22. Ylitalo E. (C)
80. Heinanen A.	5. Kilpelainen V.
22. And T.	95. Matikainen K.
20. Heikkinen J.	38. Yliniemi S.
12. Piipponen J. (A)	10. Takala E.
Line 4
6. Kettunen E.	6. Cederberg E.
16. Takaveraja T.	28. Heikkila A.
47. Laakso A.	84. Sammalisto J.
14. Kivela N.	37. Antti-Roiko A.
Substitutes
1. Lampinen J. (G)	35. Vedenpaa V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
09:40, 0 - 1, Heikkila A. (G), Sammalisto J. (A), Uusikartano R. (A2)
19:03, 1 - 1, And T. (G), Hamalainen J. (A), Heikkinen J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:25, 2 - 1, Takaveraja T. (G), Elimaki R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
15', 3 - 1, (G),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kiekko-Espoo won 3.

Kiekko-Espoo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hermes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kiekko-Espoo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kiekko-Espoo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Kiekko-Espoo won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 43-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Kiekko-Espoo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish Mestis
01.04.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Imatran Ketterä	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Imatran Ketterä - Kiekko-Espoo	5:0 ✺
29.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Imatran Ketterä	2:3 ✺
27.03.24	Imatran Ketterä - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1 ✺
25.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Hermes Kokkola
Finnish Mestis
06.04.24	IPK - Hermes Kokkola	4:2 ✺
05.04.24	Hermes Kokkola - IPK	1:3 ✺
03.04.24	IPK - Hermes Kokkola	3:8 ✺
01.04.24	Hermes Kokkola - IPK	4:3 OT ✺
30.03.24	IPK - Hermes Kokkola	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
17.01.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Hermes Kokkola	5:2
01.12.23	Hermes Kokkola - Kiekko-Espoo	3:6
01.11.23	Kiekko-Espoo - Hermes Kokkola	2:5
27.10.23	Hermes Kokkola - Kiekko-Espoo	2:5
17.03.23	Hermes Kokkola - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2
16.02.23	Kiekko-Espoo - Hermes Kokkola	5:2
22.11.22	Hermes Kokkola - Kiekko-Espoo	4:2

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