The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IPK 57.4%
Draw 19.6%
Hermes Kokkola 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
19.9%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
20.7%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
IPK - Hermes Kokkola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Sammalniemi J. (G)
30. Ahopelto J. (G)
81. Paqvalin A.
77. Ahola A. (A)
6. Leppanen T.
43. Heinonen O.
28. Tolppola V.
86. Maki E.
21. Jaatinen O.
73. Niinisto J.
72. Ahvenlampi M.
92. Toivonen V.
Line 2
59. Kahkonen J.
33. Monkkonen M.
96. Gronblom T.
5. Tikkanen T.
13. Halonen V.
45. Ekman T.
26. Hattunen M.
51. Vahatalo J. (C)
7. Suhonen P.
48. Hult O.
Line 3
56. Nissinen T.
4. Lehtinen E.
2. Junkkari J.
6. Lauri O.
77. Virtanen J. (C)
10. Takala E.
27. Lausniemi A. (A)
24. Pennanen A.
23. Paqvalin J.
21. Pulli T.
Line 4
67. Curri R.
16. Cederberg E. (A)
18. Tohila R.
22. Aaltonen J.
33. Koskela S.
53. Ulvila A.
9. Mykra O.
97. Vesaaja J.
Substitutes
31. Kerkola P. (G)
79. Saarinen K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
01:42, 0 - 1, Pulli T. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
05:50, 1 - 1, Halonen V. (G), Tolppola V. (A), Paqvalin A. (A2)
11:17, 2 - 1, Koskela S. (G), Kahkonen J. (A),
17:33, 2 - 2, Niinisto J. (G), Maki E. (A), Ahola A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:01, 2 - 3, Toivonen V. (G), Vahatalo J. (A), Ahola A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 5.
IPK is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Hermes has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
IPK may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to IPK for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for IPK in today's match, at odds of 1.6.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, IPK has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 84:54 (averaging 4.2:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for IPK against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 43:28 goals (averaging 3.9:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
IPK
8
6
1
1
0
30:12
21
5
Hermes
8
2
1
2
3
22:25
10
Last Results with these Odds
IPK - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.14%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Hermes Kokkola - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 23.93%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.