Match Info

Liiga - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Espoo Metro Areena (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Kiekko-Espoo		Ässät

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	3.6
	1.88	3.9	3.75
	1.76	4.2	3.99
	1.75	4.16	3.97	Watch
	1.75	3.9	3.6
	1.75	4.25	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)	4.07 ↓ (4.18)	3.81 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiekko-Espoo
52.4%

Draw
23%

Ässät
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

22.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

23.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kiekko Espoo - Ässät Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kiekko-Espoo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Rimpinen P. (G)	30. Bednar J. (G)
51. Nakyva K.	67. Puutio K.
3. Keskitalo M. (A)	37. Maatta R. (A)
88. Rask J. (C)	9. Lipiainen V.
78. Tuomaala A.	74. Tiivola P. (A)
28. Hamalainen J.	14. Sebok B.
Line 2
21. Peltomaki N.	10. Nilsson O.
55. Aronsson A.	3. Anttalainen A.
4. Kangasniemi I.	88. Olofsson J.
8. Hillis C.	44. Jarvinen J. (C)
16. Vaisanen J.	63. Kostilainen S.
Line 3
26. Kulonummi K.	8. Viljanen V.
34. Laakso A.	80. Nurmi P.
72. Svejkovsky L.	16. Noiva N.
14. Stevens J.	19. Juhola P.
87. Komarov L.	47. Tammela J.
Line 4
7. Jurmo J.	77. Piipponen S.
17. Talvitie A.	18. Ylitalo O.
75. Virtanen S. (A)	86. Knihti F.
18. Leppanen O.	92. Alasiurua A.
Substitutes
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)	39. Lindberg F. (G)
Coaches
. Aho J.	. Pikkarainen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:25, 0 - 1, Tammela J. (G), Juhola P. (A), Anttalainen A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:22, Alasiurua A. (2 min),
09:59, 1 - 1, Hillis C. (G), Stevens J. (A), Vaisanen J. (A2)
10:31, Peltomaki N. (2 min),
15:35, 2 - 1, Virtanen S. (G), Leppanen O. (A), Nakyva K. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:39, Sebok B. (2 min),
09:24, 3 - 1, Hillis C. (G), Vaisanen J. (A), Rask J. (A2)
17:43, 4 - 1, Vaisanen J. (G), Kangasniemi I. (A),

Preview

Assat Pori leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Kiekko-Espoo is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 3.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 3:1.4).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Kiekko-Espoo: 3.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Assat	12	6	1	2	3	30:27	22
7	Kiekko-Espoo	13	5	1	3	4	42:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

Ässät - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.6%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga
23.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	2:5 ✺
21.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	1:2 OT ✺
20.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	4:3 OT ✺
17.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Vaasan Sport	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Ässät hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
23.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	2:5 ✺
21.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	1:2 OT ✺
20.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	4:3 OT ✺
17.03.26	JYP - Ässät	5:4 ✺
14.03.26	TPS - Ässät	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
23.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	2:5
21.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	1:2 OT
20.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	4:3 OT
10.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	0:4
14.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	4:1
25.11.25	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	3:5
13.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	2:1

Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide