Match Info

Liiga

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: LähiTapiola Areena (Jyväskylä)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	JYP		Ässät

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.5	4.5
	1.8	4.05	3.95	Watch
	1.71	4.4	4.1
	1.68	4.4	4.1	Watch
	1.6	4.2	3.9
	1.69	4.55	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.59)	4.35 ↓ (4.66)	4.09 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JYP
55.7%

Draw
21.5%

Ässät
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

20%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

19%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

JYP - Ässät Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Salminen O. (G)	39. Lindberg F. (G)
18. Jokinen R.	67. Puutio K.
3. Lehmus J.	37. Maatta R. (A)
39. Ojantakanen V.	9. Lipiainen V.
28. Lassila J. (C)	74. Tiivola P. (A)
61. Huovila S.	78. Fabre D.
Line 2
63. Bourque T.	10. Nilsson O.
29. Winberg T.	3. Anttalainen A.
14. Perttu M.	88. Olofsson J.
7. True A.	44. Jarvinen J. (C)
40. Torgersson D.	63. Kostilainen S.
Line 3
21. Vuontisvaara O.	8. Viljanen V.
4. Liikonen V.	77. Piipponen S.
71. Puustinen J. (A)	16. Noiva N.
17. Makinen O.	19. Juhola P.
25. Jormakka P.	47. Tammela J.
Line 4
2. Pulli J.	72. Josling S.
91. Nieminen V.	86. Knihti F.
89. Tyrvainen A.	14. Sebok B.
92. Vidgren A.
Substitutes
34. Setanen O. (G)	30. Bednar J. (G)
Coaches
. Matikainen P.	. Pikkarainen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
03:14, 1 - 0, Tyrvainen A. (G), Bourque T. (A), Winberg T. (A2)
06:42, Tiivola P. (2 min),
09:59, 2 - 0, Vidgren A. (G), Liikonen V. (A), Nieminen V. (A2)
13:38, 3 - 0, True A. (G), Perttu M. (A), Torgersson D. (A2)
16:31, True A. (2 min),
17:06, 3 - 1, Kostilainen S. (G), Noiva N. (A), Puutio K. (A2)
17:51, 3 - 2, Tammela J. (G), Juhola P. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
18:44, Puustinen J. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:21, Bourque T. (2 min),
01:42, 3 - 3, Tiivola P. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Viljanen V. (A2)
05:26, 4 - 3, Huovila S. (G), Puustinen J. (A), Jormakka P. (A2)
09:16, Noiva N. (2 min),
14:11, 5 - 3, Puustinen J. (G), Jokinen R. (A), Makinen O. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:10, True A. (2 min),
07:48, 5 - 4, Kostilainen S. (G), Puutio K. (A), Jarvinen J. (A2)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Ässät is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 3.

JYP has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ässät's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, JYP is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 49:55. (average 2.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 3.1:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Assat	12	6	1	2	3	30:27	22
5	JYP	10	7	0	0	3	30:25	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
14.03.26	KalPa - JYP	6:3 ✺
13.03.26	JYP - Ilves	3:6 ✺
11.03.26	JYP - Tappara	2:3 OT ✺
07.03.26	Vaasan Sport - JYP	0:3 ✺
06.03.26	JYP - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Ässät hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
14.03.26	TPS - Ässät	2:5 ✺
13.03.26	Ässät - TPS	6:2 ✺
10.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ässät	1:3 ✺
05.03.26	Ässät - KalPa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
27.09.25	Ässät - JYP	2:3
22.01.25	JYP - Ässät	5:2
05.12.24	Ässät - JYP	3:1
09.03.24	Ässät - JYP	4:1
19.12.23	JYP - Ässät	3:2 penalties
13.12.23	Ässät - JYP	1:2 OT
04.10.23	JYP - Ässät	1:4

JYP - Ässät: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide