Match Info

OHL

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Slush Puppie Place (Kingston, ON)


	Kingston Frontenacs		North Bay Battalion

	1	X	2
	2.42	4.26	2.35
	2.37	4.25	2.32	Watch
	2.2	4	2.5
	2.2	4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.15)	4.13 ↓ (4.31)	2.41 ↓ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kingston Frontenacs
39.8%

Draw
22.2%

North Bay Battalion
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

21.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

23.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kingston Frontenacs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

North Bay Battalion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kingston Frontenacs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Bay Battalion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Betts G. (G)	30. LIsson J. (G)
6. Bishop W. (A)	29. Amidovski L. (A)
22. Buttar N.	13. Barch H.
17. Clark R.	17. Cali R.
9. Dervin K.	11. Carey R.
14. Frost M.	18. Dubrovtsev Y.
77. Henderson M.	4. Enright A.
47. Kelly A.	26. Gervais S.
13. Kuzma R.	5. Greer K.
11. McGowan M. (A)	6. Harper B.
19. Mclean A.	3. Kapageridis J.
86. Misiak A.	19. Laird N. (A)
25. Mondoux A.	12. Pitre K.
4. Moore L.	21. Procyszyn E. (C)
10. Pobezal T.	20. Pronin A.
28. Robar T.	25. Ride B. (A)
74. Snyder N.	16. Vaughan P.
27. Williamson V. (C)	14. Warren C.
36. Wright L.	28. Wellenreiter N.
Substitutes
76. Minchak M. (G)	1. Zepp G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
04:05, 1 - 0, Dervin K. (G), Mclean A. (A), Wright L. (A2)
10:33, 2 - 0, Kuzma R. (G),
18:17, 3 - 0, Frost M. (G), Dervin K. (A), McGowan M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:08, 4 - 0, Snyder N. (G), Frost M. (A), Kuzma R. (A2)
08:30, 5 - 0, Kuzma R. (G), McGowan M. (A), Wright L. (A2)
09:12, 5 - 1, Gervais S. (G), Kapageridis J. (A), Cali R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 4.

Recent form of Kingston has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

North Bay is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

North Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kingston has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that North Bay will win today's game, with odds of 2.53.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 67:82. (average 3.4:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kingston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 4.1:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Kingston Frontenacs - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.76%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

North Bay Battalion - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kingston Frontenacs
OHL
16.02.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Brantford Bulldogs	2:3 ✺
13.02.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Kitchener Rangers	2:4 ✺
12.02.26	Barrie Colts - Kingston Frontenacs	6:3 ✺
08.02.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Brantford Bulldogs	2:5 ✺
06.02.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Owen Sound Attack	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- North Bay Battalion
OHL
19.02.26	Peterborough Petes - North Bay Battalion	4:5 ✺
16.02.26	Brampton Steelheads - North Bay Battalion	3:5 ✺
15.02.26	North Bay Battalion - Niagara IceDogs	9:1 ✺
12.02.26	North Bay Battalion - Brampton Steelheads	3:2 penalties ✺
08.02.26	North Bay Battalion - Barrie Colts	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
28.11.25	Kingston Frontenacs - North Bay Battalion	1:4
28.09.25	North Bay Battalion - Kingston Frontenacs	1:2
09.01.25	North Bay Battalion - Kingston Frontenacs	1:4
24.11.24	Kingston Frontenacs - North Bay Battalion	5:1
27.10.24	North Bay Battalion - Kingston Frontenacs	2:6
04.10.24	Kingston Frontenacs - North Bay Battalion	9:0
05.04.24	North Bay Battalion - Kingston Frontenacs	5:1

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