The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrie Colts 28.9%
Draw 20.1%
Kingston Frontenacs 51%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
21.1%
50.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
22.6%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrie Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Kingston Frontenacs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Barrie Colts - Kingston Frontenacs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Bach H. (G)
76. Minchak M. (G)
2. Desiderio N.
22. Buttar N.
37. Edgar E. (A)
13. Christie G.
98. Figliomeni A.
6. Cook B.
16. Handsor J.
92. D'Andrea D.
24. Lombardi B.
8. Goljer A.
85. Lowe C. (A)
77. Henderson M.
22. Matheson L.
41. Kulemin A.
74. McNally D.
91. Kuzma R.
8. Mogull S.
9. Mclean A.
72. Mowrey A.
86. Misiak A.
88. Passmore E. (C)
25. Mondoux A. (A)
11. Schneid W.
10. Pobezal T. (A)
20. Shargorodsky P.
55. Prud'homme L.
34. Shirochenkov M.
28. Robar T.
19. Tang M.
74. Snyder N.
81. Testa L.
15. Turnbull N.
89. Tsherna D.
71. Vanacker R.
21. Yurkiw R.
27. Williamson V. (C)
36. Wright L.
Substitutes
70. Nikonovich M. (G)
29. Smith R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
01:44, 1 - 0, Tsherna D. (G),
06:36, 1 - 1, Misiak A. (G), Pobezal T. (A), Mclean A. (A2)
11:43, 1 - 2, Misiak A. (G), Pobezal T. (A), Wright L. (A2)
17:26, 2 - 2, Lowe C. (G), Tang M. (A), Edgar E. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:28, 3 - 2, Lombardi B. (G), Mogull S. (A),
08:02, 3 - 3, Mondoux A. (G), Kuzma R. (A), Williamson V. (A2)
09:18, 4 - 3, Desiderio N. (G), Shirochenkov M. (A), Yurkiw R. (A2)
11:57, 4 - 4, Mondoux A. (G), Buttar N. (A), Robar T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
05:44, 4 - 5, Misiak A. (G), Williamson V. (A), Mondoux A. (A2)
10:12, 4 - 6, Robar T. (G), Buttar N. (A), Goljer A. (A2)
18:02, 4 - 7, Misiak A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrie won 4.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Kingston may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Barrie has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Kingston is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barrie has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 80:71 (averaging 4:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barrie against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 47:26 goals (averaging 4.7:2.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Barrie Colts - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.35%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
Kingston Frontenacs - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.59%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bach H. (G) 
Buttar N. 
Goljer A. 
Shirochenkov M. 
Nikonovich M. (G) 
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