The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kingston Frontenacs 24.8%
Draw 20.7%
Kitchener Rangers 54.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
22.3%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
23.5%
46.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kingston Frontenacs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Kitchener Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kitchener Rangers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kingston Frontenacs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kitchener Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
43. Betts G. (G)
65. Kirsch C. (G)
6. Bishop W. (A)
5. Andonovski M. (A)
22. Buttar N.
9. Anstis A.
17. Clark R.
11. Arquette C.
9. Dervin K.
17. Cameron W.
14. Frost M.
8. Campbell C. (A)
77. Henderson M.
20. Chiarot G.
47. Kelly A.
25. Dirracolo M.
8. Krmpotic N.
16. Edwards D.
13. Kuzma R.
13. Ellis H.
20. McCuaig C.
48. Humphreys C.
11. McGowan M. (A)
93. LaBrash J.
19. Mclean A.
37. Lam T.
86. Misiak A.
43. MacNiel A.
25. Mondoux A.
23. O'Reilly S. (A)
10. Pobezal T.
24. Pridham J.
74. Snyder N.
18. Reid C. (C)
27. Williamson V. (C)
27. Vermeulen A.
36. Wright L.
51. Woolley J.
Substitutes
76. Minchak M. (G)
39. Schaubel J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 4)
06:37, 0 - 1, Humphreys C. (G), Pridham J. (A), Andonovski M. (A2)
10:14, 0 - 2, Pridham J. (G), Arquette C. (A), Humphreys C. (A2)
15:30, 0 - 3, Arquette C. (G), Humphreys C. (A), Pridham J. (A2)
17:35, 0 - 4, Chiarot G. (G), Ellis H. (A), Andonovski M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:50, 1 - 4, Misiak A. (G), Mclean A. (A), Williamson V. (A2)
18:37, 2 - 4, Kelly A. (G), Clark R. (A), Frost M. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
Kitchener is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 3.
Kingston has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kitchener is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Kitchener may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kitchener is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 64:56. (average 3.2:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kingston won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:26. (average 4.4:2.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Kingston Frontenacs - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.03%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Kitchener Rangers - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.69%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.