Match Info

OHL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Kitchener Memorial Auditorium Complex (Kitchener, ON)


	Kitchener Rangers		Barrie Colts

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.79	4.27
	1.56	4.76	4.25	Watch
	1.5	4.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.9)	4.72 ↑ (4.35)	4.24 ↑ (3.16)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kitchener Rangers
59%

Draw
19.4%

Barrie Colts
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

21.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

22.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitchener Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kitchener Rangers's performance.

Barrie Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barrie Colts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kitchener Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrie Colts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
65. Kirsch C. (G)	62. Hrebik B. (G)
5. Andonovski M. (A)	77. Aitcheson K. (C)
9. Anstis A.	14. Crombie C.
11. Arquette C.	2. Desiderio N.
89. Bilecki A.	37. Edgar E.
8. Campbell C. (A)	78. Eliasson G.
20. Chiarot G.	41. Emerton C.
16. Edwards D.	25. Gardiner B. (A)
19. Ellinas L.	16. Handsor J.
13. Ellis H.	28. Hemming E.
48. Humphreys C.	85. Lowe C.
37. Lam T.	83. McCormick J.
43. MacNiel A.	84. Newton J.
23. O'Reilly S.	88. Passmore E. (A)
24. Pridham J.	11. Schneid W.
18. Reid C. (C)	4. Vader T.
86. Romano L. (A)	6. Von Richter P.
27. Vermeulen A.	53. Wilmott B.
51. Woolley J.	19. Zebeski M.
Substitutes
39. Schaubel J. (G)	1. Jaswal A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
18:37, 0 - 1, Gardiner B. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:10, 1 - 1, Chiarot G. (G), Ellinas L. (A), Ellis H. (A2)
11:19, 1 - 2, Hemming E. (G), Wilmott B. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:28, 2 - 2, Campbell C. (G), O'Reilly S. (A),
17:34, 3 - 2, Humphreys C. (G), Reid C. (A), Lam T. (A2)
19:57, 3 - 3, Aitcheson K. (G), Wilmott B. (A), Von Richter P. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
18:03, 4 - 3, Andonovski M. (G),

Preview

Kitchener Rangers leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitchener won 3.

Kitchener is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barrie's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kitchener may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kitchener is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kitchener won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 83:53. (average 4.2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kitchener won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 50:25. (average 4.5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Kitchener Rangers - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.07%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kitchener Rangers
OHL
06.05.26	Kitchener Rangers - Barrie Colts	5:2 ✺
01.05.26	Kitchener Rangers - Windsor Spitfires	5:4 OT ✺
29.04.26	Windsor Spitfires - Kitchener Rangers	3:6 ✺
27.04.26	Windsor Spitfires - Kitchener Rangers	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Kitchener Rangers - Windsor Spitfires	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW
- Barrie Colts
OHL
06.05.26	Kitchener Rangers - Barrie Colts	5:2 ✺
04.05.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Barrie Colts	0:5 ✺
02.05.26	Barrie Colts - Brantford Bulldogs	4:3 OT ✺
30.04.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Barrie Colts	3:4 OT ✺
28.04.26	Barrie Colts - Brantford Bulldogs	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
06.05.26	Kitchener Rangers - Barrie Colts	5:2
02.01.26	Kitchener Rangers - Barrie Colts	2:3 penalties
25.10.25	Barrie Colts - Kitchener Rangers	4:3 OT
21.02.25	Kitchener Rangers - Barrie Colts	4:1
11.01.25	Barrie Colts - Kitchener Rangers	1:4
16.12.23	Barrie Colts - Kitchener Rangers	3:4 OT
13.10.23	Kitchener Rangers - Barrie Colts	8:0

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