The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flint Firebirds 43.3%
Draw 21.4%
Barrie Colts 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
21.5%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
22.5%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Barrie Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (-4%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vaccari M. (G)
1. Jaswal A. (G)
19. Allen D.
77. Aitcheson K. (A)
22. Anderson D.
29. Beaudoin C. (C)
76. Aspinall N. (C)
14. Crombie C.
86. Battaglia J.
2. Desiderio N.
13. Colosimo J.
37. Edgar E.
88. Cunningham R.
78. Eliasson G.
65. Fellinger R.
41. Emerton C.
14. Graziano L.
25. Gardiner B. (A)
11. He K.
16. Handsor J.
20. Komadoski G.
28. Hemming E.
47. Kostov A. (A)
85. Lowe C.
10. Lombardi J. (A)
84. Newton J.
68. Murata C.
88. Passmore E. (A)
95. Pazii I.
15. Salandra J.
98. Podrekar U. (A)
11. Schneid W.
77. Smith B.
6. Von Richter P.
9. Thibodeau C.
53. Wilmott B.
8. Uljanskis D.
19. Zebeski M.
Substitutes
55. Courville M. (G)
62. Hrebik B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
12:05, 1 - 0, Murata C. (G), Allen D. (A),
12:24, 1 - 1, Salandra J. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:54, 2 - 1, Colosimo J. (G), Thibodeau C. (A), Allen D. (A2)
17:48, 3 - 1, He K. (G), Podrekar U. (A), Aspinall N. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 4)
00:22, 3 - 2, Zebeski M. (G), Beaudoin C. (A), Passmore E. (A2)
06:08, 3 - 3, Crombie C. (G), Von Richter P. (A), Emerton C. (A2)
10:06, 4 - 3, Podrekar U. (G), Uljanskis D. (A), Aspinall N. (A2)
10:30, 5 - 3, Lombardi J. (G), Anderson D. (A),
12:27, 5 - 4, Gardiner B. (G), Crombie C. (A), Wilmott B. (A2)
17:41, 5 - 5, Wilmott B. (G), Von Richter P. (A), Gardiner B. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:09, 5 - 6, Hemming E. (G), Aitcheson K. (A), Wilmott B. (A2)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint won 1.
Flint has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Barrie is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Barrie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Flint has had a series of away games.
Flint could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Flint won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 50:80. (average 2.9:4.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Flint won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:41. (average 2.6:5.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Barrie Colts - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.79%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Vaccari M. (G) 
Anderson D. 
Eliasson G. 
Hemming E. 
Pazii I. 
Podrekar U. (A) 
Uljanskis D. 
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