Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Kitzbühel		KAC II

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	5.5
	1.3	5.45	6.15
	1.31	5.09	5.9
	1.33	6.04	7.34
	1.34	5.7	6.04
	1.32	5.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.33)	5.52 ↓ (5.62)	6.16 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kitzbühel
68.7%

Draw
16.5%

KAC II
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

16.3%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

15.7%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitzbühel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

KAC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAC II than the current prediction. (-1%)

Kitzbühel - KAC II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kitzbühel won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

KAC II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kitzbühel is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kitzbühel to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Kitzbühel won 17 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 68-55.

Including matches at home between the teams Kitzbühel won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Kitzbühel
Alps Hockey League
01.02.24	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	6:4 ✺
25.01.24	Kitzbühel - Unterland Cavaliers	4:3 penalties ✺
20.01.24	Fassa - Kitzbühel	4:6 ✺
18.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Kitzbühel	4:1 ✺
05.01.24	Kitzbühel - Acroni Jesenice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLW
- EC KAC II
Alps Hockey League
01.02.24	KAC II - Unterland Cavaliers	7:1 ✺
27.01.24	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	3:1 ✺
25.01.24	Fassa - KAC II	5:2 ✺
18.01.24	KAC II - Fassa	2:3 penalties ✺
05.01.24	Ritten-Renon - KAC II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
26.10.23	Kitzbühel - KAC II	5:2
07.10.23	KAC II - Kitzbühel	5:1
16.02.23	KAC II - Kitzbühel	0:1 penalties
26.01.23	Kitzbühel - KAC II	3:2 OT
19.11.22	Kitzbühel - KAC II	4:3 OT
20.10.22	KAC II - Kitzbühel	3:5
24.02.22	KAC II - Kitzbühel	6:0

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