Match Info

MHL

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Krasnoyarskie Rysi		Tolpar

	1	X	2
	5	5	1.54
	5.08	5	1.45	Watch
	4.3	4.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↓ (6.18)	4.83 ↓ (6.4)	1.5 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnoyarskie Rysi
19.3%

Draw
19.1%

Tolpar
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

14.6%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

14.5%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnoyarskie Rysi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tolpar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnoyarskie Rysi than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tolpar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Krasnoyarskie Rysi - Tolpar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Prutyanov A. (G)	30. Povarov M. (G)
67. Larionov D. (A)	23. Khafzetdinov A.
54. Shevchenko M.	76. Pykhtin D. (C)
73. Kotov M.	47. Fogelnest M.
75. Chekmarev S.	87. Buzdyganov V.
72. Yesinetsky N.	75. Shebyakin M.
Line 2
63. Volgin I.	24. Karasyov M.
96. Krutov A.	36. Gunkin Y.
12. Morozov I. (C)	9. Petrenko D. (A)
64. Uvarov I.	42. Koltsov N.
76. Lazarev Y.	10. Shermakov A.
Line 3
4. Doronin A. (A)	89. Shcherbakov N.
37. Gavrilov L.	16. Khusainov R.
26. Snigiryov M.	18. Kireyev R.
16. Deryabin K.	37. Zagrebin M.
49. Telepnev A.	28. Akhsyanov B.
Line 4
38. Ovchinnikov A.	26. Degtyarev M.
80. Fomenko Z.	98. Zayets D.
90. Repin Y.	81. Yevtushenko A.
36. Yakovlev I.	67. Khabibullin A. (A)
84. Masandilov A.	63. Makarkin A.
Substitutes
40. Kapranov M. (G)	94. Tkachyov K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
09:54, 0 - 1, Petrenko D. (G), Koltsov N. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:35, 0 - 2, Petrenko D. (G), Koltsov N. (A), Shcherbakov N. (A2)
07:27, 0 - 3, Akhsyanov B. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Kireyev R. (A2)
10:11, 1 - 3, Telepnev A. (G),
15:49, 2 - 3, Krutov A. (G), Telepnev A. (A), Deryabin K. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:12, 3 - 3, Kotov M. (G), Larionov D. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Petrenko D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kotov M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Akhsyanov B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Morozov I. (Penalty Shot),
3, Shebyakin M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Chekmarev S. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnoyarskie Rysi won 1.

Krasnoyarskie Rysi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tolpar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tolpar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tolpar has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tolpar is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Krasnoyarskie Rysi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:53. (average 2.9:5.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Krasnoyarskie Rysi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 2.5:5.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krasnoyarskie Rysi
MHL
23.11.25	Krasnoyarskie Rysi - Stalnye Lisy	1:6 ✺
21.11.25	Krasnoyarskie Rysi - Avto	2:6 ✺
18.11.25	Krasnoyarskie Rysi - Belye Medvedi	7:1 ✺
09.11.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	3:5 ✺
08.11.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWWL
- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
19.11.25	Tolpar - Sputnik Almetyevsk	4:2 ✺
16.11.25	Tolpar - Reaktor	4:2 ✺
10.11.25	Tolpar - Belye Medvedi	3:2 ✺
05.11.25	Tolpar - Ladya Togliatti	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Mamonty Yugry - Tolpar	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
29.01.25	Tolpar - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	11:3
28.01.25	Tolpar - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	6:4
08.11.24	Krasnoyarskie Rysi - Tolpar	3:4
07.11.24	Krasnoyarskie Rysi - Tolpar	5:4 penalties
21.10.23	Tolpar - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	5:3
24.09.23	Krasnoyarskie Rysi - Tolpar	1:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.23	Tolpar - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	6:3

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