Match Info

MHL

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Tolpar		Reaktor

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.66	4.52
	1.48	4.9	4.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)	4.78 ↓ (5.5)	4.66 ↓ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolpar
61.3%

Draw
19.1%

Reaktor
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

16.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

13.8%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tolpar's form might have worsened.

Reaktor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reaktor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Tolpar - Reaktor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Line 1
99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)	35. Kolymaev A. (G)
23. Khafzetdinov A.	68. Semenyonok D.
76. Pykhtin D. (C)	9. Birdychkin I.
47. Fogelnest M.	98. Andreyev M.
87. Buzdyganov V.	82. Stolyarov K. (A)
75. Shebyakin M.	92. Gizyatov A. (A)
Line 2
24. Karasyov M.	56. Gorbunov A.
36. Gunkin Y.	78. Gataullin D.
9. Petrenko D. (A)	99. Muissu J.
42. Koltsov N.	45. Chertkov V.
74. Adamyan A.	16. Krivolapov N.
Line 3
98. Zayets D.	28. Vasilyev I.
16. Khusainov R.	74. Favrichnikov V.
78. Zhuk A.	75. Kurbatov M. (C)
67. Khabibullin A. (A)	54. Sirazetdinov I.
10. Shermakov A.	46. Romanov D.
Line 4
58. Plotnikov D.	42. Shagimardanov T.
18. Kireyev R.	86. Nizamov D.
26. Degtyarev M.	48. Neyevin O.
63. Makarkin A.	80. Panov A.
	14. Makarov T.
Substitutes
94. Tkachyov K. (G)	1. Rukhlyadev V. (G)
	60. Shayakhmetov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:59, 1 - 0, Adamyan A. (G), Koltsov N. (A),
17:10, 1 - 1, Panov A. (G), Krivolapov N. (A), Muissu J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:05, 2 - 1, Pykhtin D. (G), Koltsov N. (A), Adamyan A. (A2)
07:47, 2 - 2, Romanov D. (G), Favrichnikov V. (A), Kurbatov M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:35, 3 - 2, Karasyov M. (G), Petrenko D. (A),
12:35, 4 - 2, Shebyakin M. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tolpar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Reaktor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tolpar is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 66:66. (average 3.3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:22. (average 4.3:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
10.11.25	Tolpar - Belye Medvedi	3:2 ✺
05.11.25	Tolpar - Ladya Togliatti	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Mamonty Yugry - Tolpar	4:3 OT ✺
01.11.25	Mamonty Yugry - Tolpar	3:2 ✺
29.10.25	Belye Medvedi - Tolpar	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL
- Reaktor Nizhnekamsk
MHL
13.11.25	Stalnye Lisy - Reaktor	9:2 ✺
07.11.25	Reaktor - Ladya Togliatti	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Reaktor - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	3:2 penalties ✺
31.10.25	Reaktor - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	4:3 OT ✺
28.10.25	Reaktor - Tyumensky Legion	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.08.25	Reaktor - Tolpar	4:3
04.08.25	Reaktor - Tolpar	2:1
MHL
21.03.25	Tolpar - Reaktor	4:3 penalties
20.03.25	Tolpar - Reaktor	3:4 OT
09.09.24	Reaktor - Tolpar	3:2
08.09.24	Reaktor - Tolpar	3:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
02.08.24	Reaktor - Tolpar	3:4

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