Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ice Arena Iceberg (Kremenchuk)


	Kremenchuk		Kyiv Capitals

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.7	2.38
	2.7	3.61	2.31	Watch
	2.72	3.7	2.29
	2.4	3.7	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.4)	3.68 ↓ (3.7)	2.34 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kremenchuk
35.9%

Draw
24.9%

Kyiv Capitals
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.4%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

23.6%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kremenchuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Kyiv Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kremenchuk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyiv Capitals than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:24, 1 - 0, Tselogorodtsev A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:25, 2 - 0, Gevorkian M. (G), Lyalka V. (A), Serednitsky B. (A2)
12:28, 2 - 1, Panchenko Y. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:21, 2 - 2, Panchenko Y. (G), Berdniks D. (A), Lesnikov N. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
10', 3 - 2, Lyalka V. (G),

Preview

6th leg. Kyiv Capitals leads series 3-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kremenchuk won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Kremenchuk won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 42:42 (average 2.8:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Kremenchuk won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:22 (average 3.8:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Kremenchuk
Ukrainian UHL
05.04.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	2:3 ✺
02.04.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	1:3 ✺
31.03.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	3:4 ✺
28.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	1:4 ✺
26.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLWL
- Kyiv Capitals
Ukrainian UHL
05.04.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	2:3 ✺
02.04.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	1:3 ✺
31.03.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	3:4 ✺
28.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	1:4 ✺
26.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian UHL
05.04.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	2:3
02.04.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	1:3
31.03.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	3:4
28.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	1:4
26.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	3:2 OT
21.02.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	3:2 penalties
30.01.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	3:1

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