Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Final

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Kyiv Capitals		Kremenchuk

	1	X	2
	1.9	4	3.3
	1.95	3.55	3.2
	2.03	3.77	3.21	Watch
	1.96	3.8	3.31	Watch
	1.95	3.55	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.1)	3.73 ↓ (4.5)	3.24 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyiv Capitals
47%

Draw
24.6%

Kremenchuk
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

20.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

21.2%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyiv Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Kremenchuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kremenchuk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyiv Capitals than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kremenchuk than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kremenchuk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Andriichuk Y. (G)	. Gordyushin N. (G)
. Arkhypenko A.	. Andruschenko V.
. Babik	. Andryuschenko B.
. Bondarenko K.	. Babchuk D.
. Chernenko S.	. Braha V.
. Dreval O.	. Duka D.
. Dvornyk M.	. Fedorov I.
. Dyachenko R.	. Gevorkian M.
. Khonin D.	. Kruglyakov N.
. Koyda A.	. Kryvenko D.
. Krivonozhkin A.	. Kryvoshapkin H.
. Kutsevich V.	. Lyalka V.
. Lapko T.	. Maksymenko M.
. Luhovyi V.	. Materykin T.
. Oleynik N.	. Matusevych D.
. Panchenko Y.	. Matviyenko F.
. Plesovskikh D.	. Pankov B.
. Ryabenko K.	. Poperezhay D.
. Sichynskyy A.	. Savitsky N.
. Sirchenko V.	. Timchenko S.
. Taran P.	. Tselogorodtsev A.
. Utukin D.	. Varava H.
. Valkun O.
Substitutes
. Boiko N. (G)	. Kucher K. (G)
	. Makarenko D. (G)
	. Martynenko M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:15, 1 - 0, Panchenko Y. (G), Berdniks D. (A),
19:33, 1 - 1, Lyalka V. (G), Serednitsky B. (A), Kryvoshapkin H. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:23, 1 - 2, Serednitsky B. (G),

Preview

7th leg. Series tied 3-3.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kyiv Capitals won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Kyiv Capitals will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Kyiv Capitals won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 44:45 (average 2.8:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Kyiv Capitals won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:12 (average 2.9:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyiv Capitals
Ukrainian UHL
08.04.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	3:2 OT ✺
05.04.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	2:3 ✺
02.04.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	1:3 ✺
31.03.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	3:4 ✺
28.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWL
- HC Kremenchuk
Ukrainian UHL
08.04.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	3:2 OT ✺
05.04.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	2:3 ✺
02.04.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	1:3 ✺
31.03.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	3:4 ✺
28.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian UHL
08.04.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	3:2 OT
05.04.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	2:3
02.04.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	1:3
31.03.25	Kremenchuk - Kyiv Capitals	3:4
28.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	1:4
26.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	3:2 OT
21.02.25	Kyiv Capitals - Kremenchuk	3:2 penalties

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