Match Info

VHL

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Kristall Saratov		Sokol Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.51	3.18
	1.81	3.40	3.10
	2.23	3.94	2.73	Watch
	2.00	3.90	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.47)	3.69 ↓ (3.84)	3 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristall Saratov
45.6%

Draw
24.4%

Sokol Krasnoyarsk
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

23.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

24.5%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristall Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristall Saratov's performance.

Sokol Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sokol Krasnoyarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristall Saratov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokol Krasnoyarsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kristall Saratov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kristall Saratov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Baranchikov I. (G)	30. Zhigalov I. (G)
24. Koryagin V.	15. Panov M.
83. Boldyrev D.	47. Martynov Y.
96. Konkin D.	26. Urulin S.
71. Polshakov Z.	16. Zaitsev A.
99. Basin D.	9. Rybin I. (A)
Line 2
8. Egorov E.	54. Shevchenko M.
32. Semeneko M. (C)	19. Perfilyev A.
21. Chervontsev N.	11. Kargin I.
29. Krasnov I.	27. Skvortsov I. (C)
79. Larichev V.	8. Sokolov D.
Line 3
18. Kryuk S.	29. Stepanov D.
14. Medvedev S.	2. Travin O.
9. Balabolkin I.	18. Abyanov R.
7. Samoilov Y.	71. Kolmykov M.
51. Asylayev N.	95. Korchagin O.
Line 4
17. Sidorov Y.	59. Volosenkov N. (A)
92. Vyalov F.	74. Shulga A.
64. Sorokin S.	87. Cherkasov S.
25. Shcherbatov A.	97. Panin I.
34. Shitov A.
Substitutes
30. Yeryomenko M. (G)	88. Todykov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:26, 0 - 1, Zaitsev A. (G), Urulin S. (A), Martynov Y. (A2)
09:49, 1 - 1, Krasnov I. (G), Boldyrev D. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:39, 2 - 1, Konkin D. (G), Egorov E. (A), Krasnov I. (A2)
09:53, 2 - 2, Skvortsov I. (G), Kargin I. (A), Perfilyev A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:38, 3 - 2, Chervontsev N. (G), Egorov E. (A), Larichev V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kristall Saratov won 2.

Kristall Saratov has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sokol Krasnoyarsk is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kristall Saratov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Kristall Saratov in today's match, at odds of 2.17.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Kristall Saratov has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:35 (averaging 2.1:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kristall Saratov against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:12 goals (averaging 2.7:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Kristall Saratov	11	5	2	1	3	30:34	15
30	Krasnoyarsk	12	1	1	0	10	18:34	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sokol Krasnoyarsk - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.33%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristall Saratov
VHL
01.10.26	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	2:3 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Kaluga - Kristall Saratov	2:3 ✺
25.09.26	AKM - Kristall Saratov	7:2 ✺
23.09.26	Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWLWW
- Sokol Krasnoyarsk
VHL
01.10.26	Dizel Penza - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Tambov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	5:4 ✺
27.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:3 ✺
23.09.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Omskie Krylia	1:4 ✺
21.09.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
15.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Kristall Saratov	5:2
07.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:1
05.03.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Kristall Saratov	3:2 OT
17.09.24	Kristall Saratov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:2
30.11.23	Kristall Saratov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	5:4
13.11.23	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Kristall Saratov	5:3
07.11.16	Kristall Saratov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:0

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