Match Info

VHL

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Kristall Saratov		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	2.44	3.45	2.28
	2.35	3.3	2.2
	2.55	3.9	2.36	Watch
	2.47	3.7	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.58)	3.59 ↓ (3.95)	2.29 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristall Saratov
36.3%

Draw
24.8%

Norilsk
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

23.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25.4%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristall Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Kristall Saratov - Norilsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Norilsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Baranchikov I. (G)	98. Gluschenko R. (G)
24. Koryagin V.	4. Shalapov Y.
83. Boldyrev D.	11. Steklov K.
34. Shitov A.	88. Shalagin M.
71. Polshakov Z.	52. Shevchenko V.
99. Basin D.	8. Avramenko I.
Line 2
8. Egorov E.	43. Sinitsky I.
32. Semeneko M.	66. Drugalya S.
21. Chervontsev N.	17. Golodnyuk S.
29. Krasnov I.	36. Zlodeyev D.
89. Larichev I.	89. Yemets I.
Line 3
19. Gusev A.	39. Bolshakov M.
14. Medvedev S.	5. Krasnov A.
9. Balabolkin I.	56. Mokin N.
7. Samoilov Y.	10. Lipanov A.
51. Asylayev N.	86. Kirileichenko M.
Line 4
17. Sidorov Y.	22. Rodionov A.
18. Kryuchov E.	28. Shevchenko A.
64. Sorokin S.	87. Gorbunov Y.
25. Shcherbatov A.	69. Filin F.
79. Larichev V.
Substitutes
30. Yeryomenko M. (G)	70. Voityuk V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:40, 1 - 0, Basin D. (G), Shitov A. (A), Polshakov Z. (A2)
06:49, 2 - 0, Chervontsev N. (G), Krasnov I. (A), Koryagin V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:51, 2 - 1, Shevchenko V. (G), Shalagin M. (A), Sinitsky I. (A2)
07:39, 2 - 2, Avramenko I. (G), Steklov K. (A), Shalagin M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Krasnov I. (Penalty Shot),
1, Mokin N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Polshakov Z. (Penalty Shot),
2, Avramenko I. (Penalty Shot),
3, Basin D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Shalagin M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Semeneko M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Gorbunov Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Chervontsev N. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kristall Saratov won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Norilsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Kristall Saratov in today's match, at odds of 2.45.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Kristall Saratov has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:27 (averaging 2.4:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kristall Saratov against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:10 goals (averaging 2:3.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	HC Norilsk	13	6	1	2	4	27:29	16
12	Kristall Saratov	11	5	2	1	3	30:34	15

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.22%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristall Saratov
VHL
27.09.26	Kaluga - Kristall Saratov	2:3 ✺
25.09.26	AKM - Kristall Saratov	7:2 ✺
23.09.26	Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	7:4 ✺
11.09.26	Kristall Saratov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWWL
- HK Norilsk
VHL
29.09.26	Dizel Penza - Norilsk	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	Tambov - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
25.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Norilsk	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Norilsk - Omskie Krylia	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
18.01.26	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	2:3
05.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	1:2
08.03.25	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	3:2
15.09.24	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	4:3
28.11.23	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	1:5
11.11.23	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	5:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.23	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	3:1

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