Match Info

VHL

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Dizel Penza		Sokol Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.65	3.84
	1.61	3.55	3.75
	1.92	4.04	3.33	Watch
	1.73	4.00	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.35)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)	3.67 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
52%

Draw
23.6%

Sokol Krasnoyarsk
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

24.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dizel Penza's performance.

Sokol Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sokol Krasnoyarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dizel Penza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokol Krasnoyarsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dizel Penza - Sokol Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dizel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
52. Dagestansky D. (G)	30. Zhigalov I. (G)
9. Balanov Y.	15. Panov M.
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	47. Martynov Y.
47. Bobylyov V.	13. Baranov D.
13. Svishchyov K.	71. Kolmykov M.
69. Boluchevsky A. (A)	9. Rybin I. (A)
Line 2
25. Rudakov G.	2. Travin O.
83. Sukhov S.	59. Volosenkov N. (A)
22. Bain M.	11. Kargin I.
7. Savunov D.	27. Skvortsov I. (C)
97. Borisenkov A.	98. Fursa A.
Line 3
59. Nikitin Y.	54. Shevchenko M.
24. Pelevin A.	29. Stepanov D.
70. Gazizov R.	26. Urulin S.
87. Mingaleyev D. (C)	16. Zaitsev A.
33. Mukhanov T.	8. Sokolov D.
Line 4
5. Gafarov G.	79. Gerikh M.
81. Mayorov N.	74. Shulga A.
84. Utkin M.	87. Cherkasov S.
23. Chesnokov G.	95. Korchagin O.
Substitutes
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	88. Todykov A. (G)
91. Opolinsky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:36, 1 - 0, Svishchyov K. (G), Boluchevsky A. (A), Bobylyov V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:26, 2 - 0, Sukhov S. (G), Bobylyov V. (A), Svishchyov K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 3.

Dizel has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sokol Krasnoyarsk is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dizel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Dizel holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dizel has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:54 (averaging 3:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dizel against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 28:21 goals (averaging 2.8:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
18	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12
30	Krasnoyarsk	12	1	1	0	10	18:34	4

Last Results with these Odds

Dizel Penza - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.7%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Sokol Krasnoyarsk - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
29.09.26	Dizel Penza - Norilsk	5:0 ✺
25.09.26	Kaluga - Dizel Penza	2:3 penalties ✺
23.09.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	5:2 ✺
21.09.26	Ryazan - Dizel Penza	4:3 OT ✺
11.09.26	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL
- Sokol Krasnoyarsk
VHL
29.09.26	Tambov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	5:4 ✺
27.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:3 ✺
23.09.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Omskie Krylia	1:4 ✺
21.09.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 OT ✺
19.09.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Rubin Tyumen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
13.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Dizel Penza	1:4
09.11.25	Dizel Penza - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	5:4 penalties
03.03.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Dizel Penza	5:4
21.09.24	Dizel Penza - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	5:0
12.02.24	Dizel Penza - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3
08.09.23	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Dizel Penza	2:4
12.01.23	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Dizel Penza	4:3 OT

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