Match Info

Championship

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Alexander Vinokourov Sports Palace (Petropavl)


	Kulager Petropavlovsk		Almaty

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.95	5.1
	1.43	5.35	5.05	Watch
	1.36	4.8	5.5
	1.44	4.9	5.03
	1.38	5	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)	5 ↓ (5.35)	5.19 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kulager Petropavlovsk
64.4%

Draw
18.1%

Almaty
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

17.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

18.2%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kulager Petropavlovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Almaty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kulager Petropavlovsk than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almaty than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Kulager Petropavlovsk - Almaty Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Giganov B. (G)	40. Ershtein N. (G)
97. Bazanov M.	52. Aidukov D.
11. Burdelyov A.	32. Akpirganov A.
89. Burlaka Y.	4. Allamov D.
78. Dvurechensky K.	93. Amyrkanov A.
28. Gatin A.	3. Ananichev Al.
53. Goncharov A.	23. Anisimov Y.
24. Ismagilov D.	10. Atakhanov D.
23. Makhamadeyev D.	91. Fokin Y.
91. Markabayev B.	77. Gabdullin D.
19. Martynov S.	22. Gafarov D.
74. Mukanov A.	57. Gusseinov M.
13. Popitich Y.	7. Mashinets S.
92. Soshnikov A.	13. Petrasyuk M.
16. Stulov D.	95. Potyrko I.
88. Svintalskiy D.	69. Seleznyov N.
27. Svoyevolin A.	58. Valiyev R.
44. Tunhuzin S.	29. Zhuldikov N.
17. Vorobyov A.
Substitutes
90. Karatayev D. (G)	39. Yakovenko I. (G)
33. Osokin A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
07:19, 1 - 0, Popitich Y. (G), Vorobyov A. (A), Tunhuzin S. (A2)
15:27, 2 - 0, Vorobyov A. (G), Popitich Y. (A),
2nd Period (4 - 0)
04:32, 3 - 0, Burdelyov A. (G), Markabayev B. (A), Gatin A. (A2)
07:54, 4 - 0, Svintalskiy D. (G), Mukanov A. (A), Goncharov A. (A2)
08:23, 5 - 0, Burdelyov A. (G), Markabayev B. (A),
19:22, 6 - 0, Popitich Y. (G), Dvurechensky K. (A), Goncharov A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:12, 6 - 1, Ananichev Al. (G), Valiyev R. (A),
12:11, 7 - 1, Martynov S. (G), Burdelyov A. (A), Gatin A. (A2)
17:56, 7 - 2, Yakovenko I. (G), Zhuldikov N. (A), Anisimov Y. (A2)

Preview

Kulager is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kulager won 3.

Kulager is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Almaty has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kulager is considered a favorite.

We predict that Kulager will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kulager won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 70:48. (average 3.5:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kulager won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 3.2:2.5).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Kulager: 3.93% Almaty: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Kulager	16	5	3	4	4	61:48	20
7	Almaty	16	6	2	0	8	44:52	16

Last Results with these Odds

Almaty - the odds 5.05 are the expected chance of winning is 18.26%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kulager Petropavlovsk
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
14.02.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Almaty	3:4 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Saryarka	4:1 ✺
10.02.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Saryarka	4:3 ✺
03.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Kulager Petropavlovsk	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Kulager Petropavlovsk	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWWWW
- HC Almaty
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
14.02.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Almaty	3:4 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Almaty - Beibarys Atyrau	6:1 ✺
10.02.26	Almaty - Beibarys Atyrau	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	6:0 ✺
06.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
14.02.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Almaty	3:4 penalties
07.12.25	Almaty - Kulager Petropavlovsk	3:5
06.12.25	Almaty - Kulager Petropavlovsk	1:3
15.11.25	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Almaty	3:4
14.11.25	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Almaty	2:1
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
22.08.25	Almaty - Kulager Petropavlovsk	1:6
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.01.25	Almaty - Kulager Petropavlovsk	3:1

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