Match Info

Championship

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Baluan Sholak Sports Palace (Almaty)


	Almaty		Beibarys Atyrau

	1	X	2
	2.65	4.45	1.99
	2.56	5.83	1.91	Watch
	2.63	4.33	1.95
	2.72	4.05	2.07
	2.65	4.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.53)	4.63 ↓ (5.41)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaty
34.4%

Draw
19.6%

Beibarys Atyrau
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

16.8%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

17.6%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Beibarys Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Almaty aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibarys Atyrau than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Almaty - Beibarys Atyrau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Kloberdanets M. (G)	95. Baydek A. (G)
52. Aidukov D.	70. Ananichev Ar.
32. Akpirganov A.	14. Asuchanov J.
4. Allamov D.	25. Avdeyenko A.
3. Ananichev Al.	18. Dastan E.
92. Andrusenko Y.	2. Durglishvili R.
23. Anisimov Y.	41. Gabazov R.
10. Atakhanov D. (A)	10. Gasnikov E. (C)
55. Belous V.	19. Kazachenko I.
91. Fokin Y.	93. Klochkov A. (A)
77. Gabdullin D.	55. Kolotogin P.
22. Gafarov D.	27. Korchagin V.
57. Gusseinov M.	23. Kovzalov I. (A)
7. Mashinets S. (C)	47. Miller D.
13. Petrasyuk M.	76. Pinidi D.
95. Potyrko I.	17. Shingareyev T.
69. Seleznyov N.	9. Shishov A.
8. Tarasov M.	68. Shlychkov V.
58. Valiyev R.	71. Vasin V.
29. Zhuldikov N. (A)	99. Yerbatyrov Y.
Substitutes
40. Ershtein N. (G)	50. Mikushin A. (G)
39. Yakovenko I. (G)	31. Osipov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
09:30, 1 - 0, Petrasyuk M. (G), Belous V. (A),
16:39, 2 - 0, Gafarov D. (G), Zhuldikov N. (A), Aidukov D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:41, 3 - 0, Gusseinov M. (G), Mashinets S. (A), Atakhanov D. (A2)
02:39, 3 - 1, Avdeyenko A. (G), Ananichev Ar. (A), Kazachenko I. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
07:05, 4 - 1, Gafarov D. (G), Anisimov Y. (A),
07:56, 5 - 1, Atakhanov D. (G), Gusseinov M. (A), Zhuldikov N. (A2)
16:35, 6 - 1, Valiyev R. (G),

Preview

Beibarys is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almaty won 2.

In recent matches, Almaty has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beibarys has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Beibarys has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almaty won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 55:72. (average 2.8:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Almaty won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:42. (average 2.7:4.2).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Almaty: 0.79% Beibarys Atyrau: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Almaty	16	6	2	0	8	44:52	16
8	Beibarys Atyrau	16	3	0	2	11	36:55	8

Last Results with these Odds

Almaty - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.03%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Almaty
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
10.02.26	Almaty - Beibarys Atyrau	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	6:0 ✺
06.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	4:2 ✺
30.01.26	Almaty - Aktobe	4:1 ✺
29.01.26	Almaty - Aktobe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW
- Beibarys Atyrau
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
10.02.26	Almaty - Beibarys Atyrau	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	2:5 ✺
06.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	1:4 ✺
03.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Kulager Petropavlovsk	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Kulager Petropavlovsk	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
10.02.26	Almaty - Beibarys Atyrau	3:4 penalties
27.11.25	Almaty - Beibarys Atyrau	2:4
26.11.25	Almaty - Beibarys Atyrau	4:3
23.10.25	Beibarys Atyrau - Almaty	4:5
22.10.25	Beibarys Atyrau - Almaty	2:1 OT
22.01.25	Beibarys Atyrau - Almaty	5:6 OT
21.01.25	Beibarys Atyrau - Almaty	1:2 penalties

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