Match Info

LATVIA: OPTIBET HOKEJA LIGA - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Kurbads		Mogo

	1	X	2
	4.25	4.75	1.57
	4.1	4.55	1.56	Watch
	4.68	4.77	1.57
	4.62	4.54	1.62
	3.75	5	1.5
	4.12	4.65	1.58
	4.4	4.6	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (4.41)	4.69 ↑ (4.64)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kurbads
21.5%

Draw
19.6%

Mogo
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

20.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

19%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kurbads has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kurbads than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Kurbads - Mogo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
02:22, Ozolins K. (G), Bajaruns L. (A),
15:00, Vibans N. (G), Virsnitis R. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
08:31, Murnieks O. (G),
10:33, Vibans N. (G), Berzins R. (A), Ozolins K. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:20, Ozolins A. (G), Galkins A. (A), Mickevics A. (A2)
18:51, Galkins A. (G), Jekimovs R. (A),

Preview

4th leg. Mogo leads series 3-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kurbads won 1.

Recent matches Kurbads is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mogo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kurbads could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mogo have a series of home games.

In this match Mogo is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kurbads won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 64-57.

Including matches at home between the teams Kurbads won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Kurbads
Latvian Hokeja Liga
17.03.24	Kurbads - Mogo	2:5 ✺
15.03.24	Mogo - Kurbads	2:1 OT ✺
13.03.24	Mogo - Kurbads	5:1 ✺
07.03.24	HS Rīga - Kurbads	2:4 ✺
05.03.24	Kurbads - HS Rīga	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW
- HK Mogo
Latvian Hokeja Liga
17.03.24	Kurbads - Mogo	2:5 ✺
15.03.24	Mogo - Kurbads	2:1 OT ✺
13.03.24	Mogo - Kurbads	5:1 ✺
28.02.24	Mogo - Riga Prizma	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Mogo - Energija Elektrėnai	11:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
17.03.24	Kurbads - Mogo	2:5
15.03.24	Mogo - Kurbads	2:1 OT
13.03.24	Mogo - Kurbads	5:1
13.01.24	Kurbads - Mogo	4:0
02.12.23	Kurbads - Mogo	3:4 penalties
21.10.23	Mogo - Kurbads	2:1 OT
20.09.23	Mogo - Kurbads	3:2

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