The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kuznetskie Medvedi 22.9%
Draw 20.3%
Tolpar 56.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.9%
19%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
19.9%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuznetskie Medvedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuznetskie Medvedi's form might have worsened.
Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolpar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuznetskie Medvedi than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuznetskie Medvedi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolpar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
25. Chapayev V. (G)
94. Tkachyov K. (G)
19. Galochkin S.
76. Pykhtin D. (C)
26. Tkach S.
86. Volkov D.
44. Afonin M.
28. Akhsyanov B. (A)
71. Grzheletsky M. (C)
37. Zagrebin M.
92. Voronin D.
47. Fogelnest M.
Line 2
3. Logvin Y.
23. Khafzetdinov A.
74. Petrov V.
98. Zayets D.
48. Shamov I. (A)
9. Petrenko D.
55. Popov Y.
75. Shebyakin M. (A)
78. Shchipanov A.
87. Buzdyganov V.
Line 3
12. Kryukov T. (A)
16. Khusainov R.
93. Buduev R.
24. Karasyov M.
39. Margarit S.
14. Akhmetov Y.
52. Ivanov D.
26. Degtyarev M.
95. Belogurov S.
42. Koltsov N.
Line 4
36. Shchagin A.
58. Plotnikov D.
29. Sokolov D.
18. Kireyev R.
66. Naumov T.
63. Makarkin A.
68. Tungusov V.
74. Adamyan A.
91. Bogdanov K.
Substitutes
42. Kondyukov V. (G)
30. Povarov M. (G)
99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
10:29, 1 - 0, Shamov I. (G), Shchipanov A. (A), Shchagin A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
06:10, 1 - 1, Zagrebin M. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A), Koltsov N. (A2)
10:17, 1 - 2, Petrenko D. (G), Shebyakin M. (A), Khafzetdinov A. (A2)
12:15, 2 - 2, Sokolov D. (G), Shchagin A. (A), Margarit S. (A2)
19:34, 3 - 2, Grzheletsky M. (G), Voronin D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
13:40, 3 - 3, Fogelnest M. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Grzheletsky M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Akhsyanov B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Margarit S. (Penalty Shot),
2, Petrenko D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Shamov I. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 4.
Kuznetskie Medvedi has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tolpar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Kuznetskie Medvedi has had a series of home games.
Recently, Tolpar has had a series of away games.
Tolpar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 48:95. (average 2.4:4.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:44. (average 2.2:4.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Tolpar - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.08%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Chapayev V. (G) 
Buduev R. 
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