Match Info
MHLDate: 14 February 2026, Saturday
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 |
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 |
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Kuznetskie Medvedi |
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Tolpar |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.17 |
4.65 |
1.62 |
|
 |
4.02 |
4.52 |
1.64 |
 Watch |
 |
3.85 |
4.4 |
1.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↑
(2.75) |
4.52 ↓
(4.9) |
1.62 ↓
(1.98) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kuznetskie Medvedi
22.9% | Draw
20.3% | Tolpar
56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuznetskie Medvedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuznetskie Medvedi's form might have worsened.Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolpar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuznetskie Medvedi than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuznetskie Medvedi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolpar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
25.  Chapayev V. (G)
| 94. Tkachyov K. (G)
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19. Galochkin S.
| 76. Pykhtin D. (C)
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26. Tkach S.
| 86. Volkov D.
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44. Afonin M.
| 28. Akhsyanov B. (A)
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71. Grzheletsky M. (C)
| 37. Zagrebin M.
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92. Voronin D.
| 47. Fogelnest M.
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| Line 2 |
|---|
3. Logvin Y.
| 23. Khafzetdinov A.
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74. Petrov V.
| 98. Zayets D.
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48. Shamov I. (A)
| 9. Petrenko D.
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55. Popov Y.
| 75. Shebyakin M. (A)
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78. Shchipanov A.
| 87. Buzdyganov V.
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| Line 3 |
|---|
12. Kryukov T. (A)
| 16. Khusainov R.
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93.  Buduev R.
| 24. Karasyov M.
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39. Margarit S.
| 14. Akhmetov Y.
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52. Ivanov D.
| 26. Degtyarev M.
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95. Belogurov S.
| 42. Koltsov N.
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| Line 4 |
|---|
36. Shchagin A.
| 58. Plotnikov D.
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29. Sokolov D.
| 18. Kireyev R.
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66. Naumov T.
| 63. Makarkin A.
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68. Tungusov V.
| 74. Adamyan A.
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91. Bogdanov K.
| |
| Substitutes |
|---|
42. Kondyukov V. (G)
| 30. Povarov M. (G)
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| 99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 10:29, 1 - 0, Shamov I. (G), Shchipanov A. (A), Shchagin A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 06:10, 1 - 1, Zagrebin M. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A), Koltsov N. (A2)
- 10:17, 1 - 2, Petrenko D. (G), Shebyakin M. (A), Khafzetdinov A. (A2)
- 12:15, 2 - 2, Sokolov D. (G), Shchagin A. (A), Margarit S. (A2)
- 19:34, 3 - 2, Grzheletsky M. (G), Voronin D. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 13:40, 3 - 3, Fogelnest M. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Grzheletsky M. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Akhsyanov B. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Margarit S. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Petrenko D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Shamov I. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 4.Kuznetskie Medvedi has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Tolpar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, Kuznetskie Medvedi has had a series of home games.Recently, Tolpar has had a series of away games. Tolpar will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 48:95. (average 2.4:4.8).Including home matches between the teams, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:44. (average 2.2:4.4).
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Last Results with these Odds
Tolpar - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.08%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MHL | | | 13.02.26 | Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar | 3:4 OT | | 14.10.25 | Tolpar - Kuznetskie Medvedi | 3:4 penalties | | 13.10.25 | Tolpar - Kuznetskie Medvedi | 3:5 | | 28.03.25 | Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar | 6:3 | | 25.03.25 | Tolpar - Kuznetskie Medvedi | 2:3 | | 03.02.25 | Tolpar - Kuznetskie Medvedi | 3:4 penalties | | 17.01.25 | Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar | 3:4 |
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