Match Info

MHL

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Krasnaya Armiya		Tolpar

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.75	2.99
	1.78	4.25	3.43	Watch
	1.95	4.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	4.08 ↑ (4.08)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnaya Armiya
47.6%

Draw
22.4%

Tolpar
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

22.3%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

23.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnaya Armiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Krasnaya Armiya aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Krasnaya Armiya - Tolpar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
57. Dubrovin K. (G)	1. Yelin I. (G)
92. Venskel M.	86. Volkov D.
83. Adamov Y.	76. Pykhtin D. (C)
90. Pautov I.	37. Zagrebin M.
84. Lagoda G.	28. Akhsyanov B. (A)
9. Dontsov A.	9. Petrenko D. (A)
Line 2
86. Gubanov A. (A)	98. Zayets D.
65. Pestretsov B.	23. Khafzetdinov A.
74. Frolov N. (A)	87. Buzdyganov V.
67. Privalov N.	67. Khabibullin A.
52. Poroshkov D. (C)	18. Kireyev R.
Line 3
36. Shelkov M.	16. Khusainov R.
4. Yukin I.	4. Karpov A.
99. Zaitsev M.	74. Adamyan A.
73. Mikhailov N.	42. Koltsov N.
53. Matveiko Y.	14. Akhmetov Y.
Line 4
12. Rodionov A.	58. Plotnikov D.
68. Poss I.	63. Makarkin A.
40. Sidorov P.	26. Degtyarev M.
38. Petrov A.	10. Shermakov A.
Substitutes
27. Artyom M.	99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
91. Martynov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
16:51, 1 - 0, Sidorov P. (G), Rodionov A. (A), Petrov A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:50, 1 - 1, Shebyakin M. (G), Volkov D. (A), Akhmetov Y. (A2)
18:05, 2 - 1, Matveiko Y. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Krasnaya Armiya is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tolpar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tolpar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tolpar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Krasnaya Armiya is the team to beat.

We predict that Krasnaya Armiya will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Krasnaya Armiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Krasnaya Armiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Tolpar - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.05%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krasnaya Armiya
MHL
28.01.26	Atlant - Krasnaya Armiya	3:6 ✺
24.01.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Dinamo-Shinnik	1:5 ✺
22.01.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Dinamo-Shinnik	6:5 OT ✺
17.01.26	Kapitan Stupino - Krasnaya Armiya	2:6 ✺
11.01.26	AKM-Junior - Krasnaya Armiya	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW
- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
25.01.26	Tolpar - Belye Medvedi	6:2 ✺
19.01.26	Ladya Togliatti - Tolpar	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Chaika - Tolpar	1:2 OT ✺
13.01.26	Chaika - Tolpar	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Irbis Kazan - Tolpar	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
02.12.25	Tolpar - Krasnaya Armiya	1:2 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.08.22	Krasnaya Armiya - Tolpar	4:2

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