Match Info

Optibet Hokeja Liga

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Kyiv Capitals		Liepāja

	1	X	2
	2.12	4.05	2.6	Watch
	2	4.05	2.6
	2.07	4.32	2.69	Watch
	2.1	4	2.5
	2.14	3.98	2.63	Watch
	2.05	4.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.72)	4.15 ↑ (4.08)	2.58 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyiv Capitals
43.3%

Draw
21.7%

Liepāja
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

22.6%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

21%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyiv Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kyiv Capitals's performance.

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liepāja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyiv Capitals than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kyiv Capitals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liepāja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kyiv Capitals - Liepāja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Voris J. (G)	1. Valenta M. (G)
11. Andreykiv V.	33. Andersons D.
77. Augstkalns E. (A)	9. Berzins A.
59. Bajaruns L.	90. Berzins K.
7. Begovs R.	16. Butans E.
92. Cipruss R.	17. Butans K.
87. Fursa D.	92. Cionelis S.
81. Honcharenko D.	32. Circenis R.
67. Hu S.	18. Grinbergs R. (C)
2. Jansons E. H.	14. Kaupaitis I.
15. Karsums M. (C)	8. Krumins G.
71. Kostjuks A.	19. Kuznecovs K.
28. Krivonozhkin A.	15. Lagzdins N.
19. Melnikov A. (A)	11. Laivenieks R.
10. Novikovs A.	43. Lindbergs M.
47. Saroka M.	25. Ozolins K. (A)
95. Shamardin I.	73. Puzikov M.
78. Sirchenko V.	7. Snepste A.
33. Sirokovs M.	72. Stradnieks K.
38. Tsarkovskyi D.	21. Svars P. (A)
20. Zelts K.	22. Vutkevics R.
Substitutes
70. Duve M. (G)	50. Pronskis R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
12:52, 1 - 0, Honcharenko D. (G), Tsarkovskyi D. (A), Augstkalns E. (A2)
14:28, 2 - 0, Bajaruns L. (G), Begovs R. (A), Karsums M. (A2)
15:30, 3 - 0, Krivonozhkin A. (G), Novikovs A. (A), Sirokovs M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
13:29, 4 - 0, Fursa D. (G), Zelts K. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
06:37, 5 - 0, Begovs R. (G), Andreykiv V. (A),
07:11, 5 - 1, Stradnieks K. (G), Vutkevics R. (A), Snepste A. (A2)
08:59, 5 - 2, Snepste A. (G),
17:05, 6 - 2, Bajaruns L. (G), Karsums M. (A), Krivonozhkin A. (A2)

Preview

Kyiv Capitals has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Liepāja has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Liepāja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kyiv Capitals has had a series of home games.

Recently, Liepāja has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kyiv Capitals won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 4:4).

Including home match between the teams, Kyiv Capitals won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyiv Capitals
Latvian Hokeja Liga
03.12.25	Kyiv Capitals - Panter Tallinn	10:1 ✺
29.11.25	Kyiv Capitals - HS Rīga	4:1 ✺
26.11.25	Kyiv Capitals - Punks Vilnius	8:0 ✺
22.11.25	Riga Prizma - Kyiv Capitals	2:6 ✺
19.11.25	Kyiv Capitals - Zemgale LLU	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- HK Liepāja
Latvian Hokeja Liga
03.12.25	Mogo - Liepāja	7:4 ✺
29.11.25	Riga Prizma - Liepāja	3:5 ✺
26.11.25	Liepāja - Zemgale LLU	2:6 ✺
23.11.25	Panter Tallinn - Liepāja	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Panter Tallinn - Liepāja	2:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
11.10.25	Liepāja - Kyiv Capitals	3:4 OT
20.09.25	Kyiv Capitals - Liepāja	4:5 OT

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