Match Info

Auroraliiga Women

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Oulun Energia Areena (Oulu)


	Kärpat		KalPa

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.3	2.5
	2.06	4.43	2.66	Watch
	2.11	3.94	2.7
	2.05	4.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.05)	4.24 ↓ (4.3)	2.59 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kärpat
43.8%

Draw
21.3%

KalPa
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.5%

20.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

19.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kärpat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpat than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Kärpat - KalPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:35, 1 - 0, Puusaari E. (G), Tukiainen M. (A), Waananen S. (A2)
08:58, 1 - 1, Malicka D. (G), Holopainen A. (A), Sano L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:38, 2 - 1, Tukiainen M. (G), Ronkainen N. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
06:29, 2 - 2, Pappinen J. (G), Narinen K. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Malicka D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Ruonakoski V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kettunen K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Waananen S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Oksanen N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ylitalo J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Pappinen J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Loponen E. (Penalty Shot),
5, Narinen K. (Penalty Shot),
5, Tukiainen M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpat won 1.

Kärpat has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KalPa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kärpat has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpat won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 45:84. (average 2.3:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kärpat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:50. (average 2.3:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpat Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
01.11.25	KalPa - Kärpat	2:3 penalties ✺
26.10.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpat	7:3 ✺
25.10.25	HIFK - Kärpat	9:3 ✺
19.10.25	Kärpat - HIFK	2:3 ✺
12.10.25	HPK - Kärpat	12:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLL
- KalPa Hockey Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
01.11.25	KalPa - Kärpat	2:3 penalties ✺
19.10.25	Ilves - KalPa	4:1 ✺
12.10.25	KalPa - Ilves	4:6 ✺
11.10.25	KalPa - HIFK	1:6 ✺
05.10.25	Ilves - KalPa	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
01.11.25	KalPa - Kärpat	2:3 penalties
13.09.25	Kärpat - KalPa	1:2 penalties
26.01.25	Kärpat - KalPa	1:3
18.01.25	KalPa - Kärpat	4:1
26.10.24	Kärpat - KalPa	3:5
05.10.24	KalPa - Kärpat	2:0
10.12.23	KalPa - Kärpat	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpat Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
24.10.26	TPS - Kärpat	✺

Kärpat - KalPa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide