The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lada Togliatti 21.1%
Draw 19.8%
Traktor Chelyabinsk 59.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
22.3%
47.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
22.6%
48.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lada Togliatti's form might have worsened.
Traktor Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Traktor Chelyabinsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lada Togliatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Traktor Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Traktor Chelyabinsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lada Togliatti - Traktor Chelyabinsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
40. Haukeland H. (G)
49. Volkov A. (A)
9. Valentsov V.
27. Somerby D.
2. Dronov G. (A)
66. Mikhailov N.
12. Rykov A.
13. Sawchuk R. (A)
87. Svetlakov A.
10. Chivilyov A.
45. Goryunov-Rolgizer M.
Line 2
99. Makarov N.
84. Vydrenkov I.
89. Karpov A.
42. Yusupov V.
88. Setdikov N.
29. Legare N.
14. King Ben
13. Katchouk B.
18. Kugryshev D. (C)
94. Grigorenko M. (A)
Line 3
64. Belousov M.
89. Fedoseyev Y.
96. Leontyev V.
82. Pribylsky A.
44. Lukin A.
90. Soshnikov N.
19. Zinchenko I.
83. Gorbunov S.
25. Romanov I.
10. Nizameyev A.
Line 4
28. Taimazov A.
79. Savelyev A.
47. Morozov Y.
43. Rodionov M.
83. Belyayev M.
33. Rykmanov A.
15. Ryzhov K.
16. Shen A.
71. Shakirov R.
7. Dzhioshvili M.
Substitutes
77. Ovcharik D. (G)
97. Matyushin A.
70. Nikolayev D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
19:07, 1 - 0, Mikhailov N. (G), Sawchuk R. (A), Chivilyov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:26, 1 - 1, Vydrenkov I. (G), Dzhioshvili M. (A), Shen A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:31, 2 - 1, Chivilyov A. (G),
18:07, 3 - 1, Shakirov R. (G), Belyayev M. (A), Morozov Y. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lada won 0.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Lada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Traktor has had a series of away games.
Traktor might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lada won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 26:60. (average 1.3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Lada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.9:3).
Last Results with these Odds
Lada Togliatti - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 30.17%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
Traktor Chelyabinsk - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.52%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.