Match Info

KHL

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Arena-2000 Lokomotiv (Yaroslavl)


	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.93	7.22
	1.31	5.83	9.05	Watch
	1.23	7.5	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	6.09 ↑ (5.68)	8.01 ↑ (7.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
72.9%

Draw
15.4%

Lada Togliatti
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

17.1%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

18%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Yaroslavl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lada (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Line 1
38. Melnichuk A. (G)	1. Trushkov A. (G)
99. Sergeyev A.	42. Syomin V. (C)
5. Bereglazov A.	22. Williams C.
78. Shalunov M.	76. Tyanulin A. (A)
70. Surin Y.	66. Mikhailov N.
47. Radulov A. (A)	13. Sawchuk R.
Line 2
87. Rafikov R. (A)	99. Makarov N.
28. Gernat M.	8. Zemchyonok A.
91. Alexeyev D.	88. Setdikov N.
16. Kayumov A.	84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)
10. Ivanov G.	21. Savchik I.
Line 3
93. Misyul D.	29. Bokun D.
4. Yelesin A. (C)	27. Cotton A.
97. Volkov A.	77. Gogolev P.
51. Froese B.	18. Kugryshev D.
14. Panik R.	10. Chivilyov A.
Line 4
6. Magomedsultanov I.	32. Taimazov A.
27. Kuzin A.	58. Obidin A.
9. Nikolayev I.	25. Romanov I.
7. Kiryanov N.	23. Chervonenko V.
Substitutes
92. Isayev D. (G)	60. Bocharov I. (G)
63. Kraskovsky P.	87. Borodin D.
Coaches
. Hartley B.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:00, 1 - 0, Yelesin A. (G), Misyul D. (A), Volkov A. (A2)
15:06, Tyanulin A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:42, Nikolayev I. (2 min),
13:59, 2 - 0, Nikolayev I. (G), Kiryanov N. (A), Gernat M. (A2)
14:14, Setdikov N. (2 min),
15:46, Kayumov A. (2 min),
18:06, 2 - 1, Gogolev P. (G), Chivilyov A. (A), Kugryshev D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:24, 3 - 1, Surin Y. (G), Radulov A. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 5.

Lokomotiv is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Lada has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lokomotiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lokomotiv is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:27. (average 2.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2.3:1.9).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
27.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 OT ✺
21.01.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Shanghai Dragons	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW
- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
28.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	6:2 ✺
26.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Dynamo Moscow	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
28.10.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Lada Togliatti	3:2
16.09.25	Lada Togliatti - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:6
17.09.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Lada Togliatti	2:1
05.09.24	Lada Togliatti - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:3
11.01.24	Lada Togliatti - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 penalties
23.11.23	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Lada Togliatti	2:1 OT
25.12.17	Lada Togliatti - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:1

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