The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ladya Togliatti 30.4%
Draw 21.8%
Avto 47.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
23.3%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
23.2%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ladya Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ladya Togliatti's form might have worsened.
Avto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avto's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ladya Togliatti than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ladya Togliatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avto than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ladya Togliatti - Avto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Nikonovich M. (G)
20. Sokolkin S. (G)
6. Morozov A.
54. Boikov D.
12. Kalimullin M.
33. Baikov O. (A)
7. Pavlov M.
58. Zhirov S.
13. Bazhukhin A. (A)
67. Gashilov L. (A)
9. Vorfolomeyev M.
37. Mortsinkevich Y.
Line 2
95. Kharitonov G.
23. Gamzakov M.
18. Ulanov G.
94. Kaigorodov G.
91. Saranov P.
51. Pimin A. (C)
89. Kulagin I.
71. Velikov M.
47. Skutin Y. (A)
63. Isayev D.
Line 3
96. Ivonin S.
6. Ivanov L.
88. Stashevsky N.
53. Yurkov K.
17. Guryev V.
64. Gladkov E.
71. Merkesov Y.
75. Dudorga G.
37. Fyodorov V. (C)
12. Shchukin Y.
Line 4
55. Pogosbekyan A.
89. Afanasyev N.
14. Lineitsev D.
49. Tokmakov D.
97. Yegorov A.
36. Zheltov Y.
4. Umerenkov M.
61. Gubin I.
34. Mikhalchenko P.
78. Kuznetsov A.
Substitutes
20. Murashov N. (G)
73. Burlakov S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
06:41, 0 - 1, Pimin A. (G), Gashilov L. (A), Gamzakov M. (A2)
10:04, 0 - 2, Isayev D. (G), Gamzakov M. (A), Kaigorodov G. (A2)
12:45, 0 - 3, Gamzakov M. (G), Gashilov L. (A), Isayev D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:42, 0 - 4, Mortsinkevich Y. (G), Gashilov L. (A), Zhirov S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:51, 1 - 4, Yegorov A. (G), Lineitsev D. (A), Nikonovich M. (A2)
15', 2 - 4, Skutin Y. (G), Ulanov G. (A), Stashevsky N. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ladya won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Ladya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ladya has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Ladya will win today's game, with odds of 2.34.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ladya won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 50:50. (average 2.5:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Ladya won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 2.6:2.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Ladya Togliatti - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.29%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
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Nikonovich M. (G) 
Sokolkin S. (G) 
Umerenkov M. 
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